Betting Market Summary for Trump v. Harris 10.15.24

Trump has a substantial 11.1 percentage-point RCP Average lead helped by a strong VP pick and no recent gaffes.  He refused to go on 60 Minutes (good move) while Kamala went on the program and came off poorly, despite deceptive editing in her favor.  Trump also refused Fox News’ proposal for another debate, another good move for him.

In case you’re curious, even the current PredictIt numbers are 54¢-49¢, in favor of Trump.  It may not be enough to salvage their credibility, but even they had to give up always showing Kamala with a big lead.

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1:07 pm on October 15, 2024