The world faces several levels of Great Replacements, which will seriously degrade most of it, except for the East Asian countries of Japan, China, Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, and Hong Kong.
More than 50% of Americans under eighteen are of non-European origin. Even if the USA were to end all immigration and stop the influx of refugees from its southern border, it would still become a non-European majority nation in just over a decade. This will only be a landmark, a point of no return. The inflection point, the swing vote from imported Third World cultures, however, started shifting the USA to increasing leftism, wokeism, and erratic foreign policy many decades ago.
The rest of the Western world, including Canada, is only a few steps behind the USA in becoming ethnically non-European majority countries. While institutions take time to change, the Western ones will increasingly resemble those of the Third World over time.
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Not only will ethnic Europeans lose their majorities in their homelands, but their proportion of the world population is also falling precipitously. In 1955, the combined populations of North America and Europe comprised 27% of the global population, most of whom were of European ethnicity. By 2050, this combined proportion will have fallen to 11%, with half of this population being of non-European ethnicity.
Only a fool would think that this is something for the Third World people to celebrate, who lacking a moral and rational fabric, have no cohesiveness or civilization. Any stability they enjoyed was not due to their democracies but rather the fear of the USA’s whip. Without a strong USA, the Third World (excluding China, which is the only Second World country), which has two-thirds of the world’s population and continues to grow as a proportion of the global population, and is forever dependent on the West, will go feral, savage and barbaric and fall into tribal units, the way they existed before Europeans started colonizing them.
Contrary to the conventional view, Africa’s population is growing faster today than in 1955, not just in absolute terms but also on a percentage basis. It has nothing to show for contributing to civilizational values—inventions, philosophical thoughts, etc.
The final layer of the Great Replacement is that in every society worldwide, intelligent, wise, and low-time preference individuals are being replaced by less intelligent ones due to dysgenic political and social policies.
East Asia, which has avoided the naïve belief that all races and people are the same, will be the last man standing.
Let us start with normalizing our perception of the Third World.
The religion of Buddhism was forgotten in India until the British rediscovered its remnants. Similarly, the Harappan civilization was also lost to memory. Indian history was uncovered through the writings of Italian, Chinese, Islamic, and other visitors from those times and through the archaeological work conducted by the British. Some of the best-preserved Hindu temples— a unifying term for the diverse, sometimes contradictory, Indian religions coined during the British era—were “saved” because they had been forgotten and covered by forest. These temples remained unknown until the British uncovered them. The British also deciphered ancient, forgotten scripts and translated scriptures that today many Indians take great pride in.
My uncle, without any irony, helped me understand why this happened. Looking down at old forts and ancient walls, he remarked that they were just rocks and unnecessarily occupied space. While the museums and sites discovered by the British still exist, they are all gradually succumbing to the elements—Indians, including the so-called educated ones, are not interested in them.
Until the arrival of the British, sub-Saharan Africa was devoid of written languages. When Europeans tried to formalize their vocabulary in writing, it fit into thin booklets. Why would you need more words if you didn’t have ideas to discuss? Concepts like degrees of difference, abstract knowledge, and the subjunctive tense eludes them. Words to convey ideas were concocted after the arrival of the Europeans. They lacked an understanding of organized farming and had little concept of tools. While Arabic found some inroads in sub-Saharan Africa, it was confined to religious contexts and did not find use outside the mosque.
Forget about written language—visiting the Third World reminds you that much of it still has yet to discover the wheel. People carry weight on their heads. They tend to forget wisdom and technology as soon as influences from outside civilizations, mainly European, are removed. Even when opportunities are offered on a silver platter, they fail to embrace values, knowledge, understanding, technology, and language. The English language in Africa, the Caribbean, and elsewhere has been reduced to pidgin.
Except for a small minority of people in the Third World who were Christianized by missionaries and colonial powers, the vast masses remain essentially unchanged, and in many cases perverted, from before the arrival of Europeans. Worse, they have transformed Christianity into voodoo. Most of what are considered good qualities of local practices and religions are products of their Christianization and Europeanization—what I call Christianized Brahminism and Christianized Islam.
Since Europeans left, whatever values the Third World had absorbed from Europeans have been eroding over time.
The Third World’s underlying irrationality, magical and superstitious thinking, the belief that the universe’s workings are arbitrary, and amorality have been overlaid by technology, so-called education, and sometimes even prosperity. The results have been perverse.
Education and Western clothing have been adopted mainly from a cargo-cult perspective, with a strong belief that having a certificate and wearing a suit are the only things that matter. They fail to see education as a means to mentally grow and become better human beings.
Education applied to an irrational mind that processes information through magical thinking becomes burdensome, making such people worse than their uneducated counterparts. They can seemingly be productive if they do back-office and copy-and-paste work, but the quality of their work is horrendous. They function as rigid cogs, not understanding the meaning and value of what they are doing. No wonder software written by them tends to bring planes down. Complex machines malfunction because they make micro-compromises. I am reminded of 737 Max accidents.
Western clothing is a façade, worn not to dress up for a civilized society but for appearance’s sake. The Third World cannot use its prosperity either. It can neither love nor feel at peace. It builds garish, gaudy houses not for comfort—since it does not understand what that word means—but to show off. It loves using its money to exert power over others. At best, its wealth is used for hedonistic purposes and tends to dissipate, like when someone poor wins a multi-million-dollar lottery.
Neither financial nor intellectual capital accumulates in the Third World. Nothing is sustainable no matter how much you help them build institutions, systems, and civilizations. They don’t have the inner resources to sustain themselves, leaving them forever dependent on the West. Otherwise, they tend to degrade through entropy, rapidly regressing to their pre-colonial days.
Everything the Third World touches—Christianity, education, prosperity, democracy, etc.—turns to dust, and nothing can be done about it. The underlying culture of the Third World hasn’t changed. It has no future except to be a cesspool of tribalism. There was no Wakanda in real life, and there never will be.
Despite evidence to the contrary, it is believed that immigrants from the Third World assimilate over time. Instead, they become more frustrated, isolated, and inward-looking as time passes. This is inevitable. They come to the West not to seek liberty or enlightenment, which holds no value in an irrational and amoral mind, but for economic reasons. Their hearts and minds remain entangled with what they left behind.
When you believe they come to the West to escape tyranny, you project your values onto them. The tyranny in their homelands is a product of their thinking, and they feel at home in it. Without tyranny, they experience an existential crisis. Wherever they go, tyranny tends to emerge. Their hearts remain tied to what they left behind. As they age, their sense of loss at not being where they should be makes their hatred for the West grow. The next generation might speak better English but lack even their parents’ vague gratitude. Wherever they live, often in ghettos, they recreate the smells, including that of poop, noise, and chaos that they left behind.
In the past, what happened in the Third World didn’t matter to Europe; today, it does. In 1955, the African population represented 9% of the world’s population. Today, with a fertility rate of more than four, they make up 18%. By 2050, according to UN estimates, they will represent 26% and be well on their way to becoming half of the world’s population by the end of this century.
The civilized world—the West and East Asia—is losing its population. Africa is growing fast, but its absolute growth is faster than what its percentage growth implies—this is because the rest of the Third World hellholes are also keeping pace. Two-thirds of the world’s population lives in the Third World, a share that continues to increase rapidly—(China is excluded from this as it is a Second World country). By 2050, South Asia’s population will be comparable to Africa’s, representing 26% of the world’s population.
The absolute numbers give a better sense of what is happening.
From a quarter of a billion people in 1955, Africa’s population has sextupled to 1.5 billion today. Predicting what will happen over the next generation is straightforward, as it is a first-order prediction. By 2050, Africa will have 2.5 billion people, ten times what it had in 1955. This much is baked into the cake.
The reverse is happening with Europeans, who have been behind virtually all inventions and have had most architects, philosophers, historians, anthropologists, explorers, etc. Europeans have fallen from 21% of the world’s population in 1955 to 9% today and are projected to fall to a mere 7% in 2050. These population figures include half of the citizens who will be ethnically non-European. North America will have faced a similar fate. In 1955, North America represented 6% of the world’s population, a vast majority of whom were ethnically European. By 2050, they will be 4% of the world’s population, with less than 50% being ethnically European. In short, while ethnic Europeans were 27% of the world’s population in 1955, they are projected to fall to about 6% by 2050.
The worst, however, is that Europeans will no longer be the majority in any country. Canada, the USA—the backbone of the West—and New Zealand will have an ethnically non-European majority well before 2050. Europe is not too far behind in this trend. The Third World people, with their irrationality, amorality, and tribalism, will be irredeemably in charge. Ethnic Europeans will have lost all political power.
East Asian populations will have seen a similar dramatic decline as ethnic Europeans, but they will retain their political power. Unlike the West, the East Asian countries of Japan, Korea, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore, and China have not sacrificed their future by bringing in a massive number of immigrants. Their focus on maintaining cultural integrity and managing demographic challenges has allowed them to preserve their societal cohesion and political stability, in stark contrast to the West’s approach.
While this is troubling, the situation is even worse. I am skeptical that the Third World population growth rate will decrease anytime soon. Moreover, every society, including both the West and the Third World, faces the issue of dysgenics.
The UN expects Africa’s population to approach half of the world population by 2100, based on an assumed fall in the growth rate. Today, Africa adds seven times more people to its population in absolute terms than it did in 1955. Even in percentage terms, the growth rate is higher now: 2.37% per year in 2023 compared to 2.21% in 1955.
The UN assumes, for example, that Nigeria’s economic growth rate will continue and that when it reaches the level of South Korea in the 1960s, its fertility rate will also begin to align with South Korea’s. This modeling reflects the UN’s public belief that all races, religions, and peoples are fundamentally the same. However, I do not share this view; otherwise, nothing I have said or will say would make any sense. I argue that inherent differences among cultures and societies will lead to divergent outcomes, challenging the UN’s assumptions.
Within every society, the proportion of intelligent people is falling while the proportion of less intelligent individuals is increasing. For decades, countries have encouraged intelligent people to have fewer children through propaganda and tax and welfare policies while incentivizing the less intelligent to have more. As the proportion of intelligent people continues to decline and become insignificant, the ever-increasing population growth of the less intelligent, who often forget to use contraceptives, will start to dominate. No wonder population growth has picked up in many societies after a long period of decline.
We thought democracy would resolve all our political problems. We believed Darwinian principles no longer applied and that Thomas Malthus was wrong. We dismissed the Limits to Growth as nonsense and assumed that our economies would perpetually expand, driven by our ingenuity. We deceive ourselves into believing that human resources are always an asset, akin to a newborn calf being an asset, and thus, a human child must be as well. We considered Niccolò Machiavelli and Thomas Hobbes too cynical. Worst of all, we thought human beings were malleable and that race and culture didn’t matter.
Let’s explore the world’s future by breaking it into three segments: the West, the Third World, and East Asia. I will also clarify why, despite my previous arguments, the Third World is now positioned for a population collapse as a significant higher-order factor emerges, the early signs of which are already apparent.
The US stands as the backbone of Western civilization. While the US’s ethnically European populations tend to lean more to the right, ethnically non-European voters predominantly support the left. Since George H. W. Bush’s 1988 election, the popular vote has consistently favored the Democratic Party, with the only exception being George W. Bush’s second term during the war. This trend persists even though the Republican Party today is more left-leaning than the Democratic Party of the 1980s. Eventually, the popular vote will completely overshadow the Electoral College, making it increasingly difficult for future candidates like George W. Bush and Donald Trump to win.
More than 43% of the US population is of non-European ethnicity. According to the Census Bureau’s 2020 report, 50% of US children under the age of 18 are members of ethnic minorities. This means that the US becoming an ethnically non-European country is now a certainty, even if the massive stream of refugees from the southern border and other sources were completely halted. In just over a decade, ethnically European Americans will represent less than 50% of the population. The US will no longer be a Western country. We don’t have to wait until it reaches this majority mark. It is already being increasingly run not on Western values but on principles of magical thinking, irrationality, and amorality.
Eventually, a civil war will break out in the US when people of European ethnicity wake up from the slumber of their political correctness and recognize that people are not the same and that changing them is impossible. The same fate awaits other Western nations. Effectively, the West has committed hara-kiri, setting itself on a path toward long-drawn civil conflict and mass-scale culling.
When European populations made up more than a quarter of the world’s population in the 1950s, Pax Britannica and later Pax Americana kept international peace. Today, with Europeans comprising only 14% of the global population, and with the leader of the West, the USA, moving towards becoming an ethnically non-European nation in a decade or so, not only will its power but the values that underpin its institutions continue to change and become increasingly Third World-like. As we move towards this future, we already see the ramifications.
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Prior US administrations managed to keep Latin America from going too far to the left. The US administration, reflecting its changing demographics, is itself now increasingly leftist, woke, and Third World-like. Today, Latin America keeps going left and woke, and there isn’t anyone to rein it in. The Third World has close to two-thirds of the world’s population, and it is becoming increasingly feral and chaotic.
Many people believed that the stability of the Third World was due to the presence of democracies in those regions. In reality, the fear of US intervention and power kept Third World leaders from acting too recklessly. As US influence continues to decline, these leaders increasingly take bold actions without fear of repercussions and even extend their influence into Western countries. A prime example is India’s Modi, who was previously banned from entering the US for his role in anti-Muslim violence but is now being celebrated by the US, despite India’s alleged involvement in a murder in Canada and an attempted assassination in the USA.
Unhinged from any control or direction, the Third World is reverting to its pre-colonial dark ages. The Third World failed to industrialize. India is deindustrializing, with tens of millions moving back to rural areas. Contrary to media portrayals, the Third World has stagnated for the last decade.
The Third World has twenty times as many people as it had half a millennium ago. This increase happened because of Western technology, medicine, the Green Revolution, and Western institutions that enabled the rule of law, which allowed a high concentration of people to live and work in close proximity. However, the Third World has nullified the benefits they received from the West through population growth, perversions, and irrationality. Their amoral, irrational minds could not create or even maintain the value they received. Instead, they focused on predation— “loot” and “thug” are Indian contributions to the English vocabulary. The institutions that the colonizers left behind, under the control of the locals, have been upended and have become predatory.
Without the supervision and guidance of the West, I wouldn’t be surprised if as much as 90 to 95% of the Third World succumbs to famine and wars. The Western institutions in the Third World have mostly hollowed out and will eventually fall apart. Taliban-like institutions will arise from the ashes, which will improve the justice system of much of the Third World.
The only area that has the best hopes is the East Asian countries of Japan, Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, and China, assuming they don’t give in to pressure from the Western political and media establishments, which are woke, and increasingly disconnected from Western values, and stay homogeneous. There will be nothing like Pax Sinica. China has no interest in getting involved in others’ affairs and perhaps lacks the competencies.
Only East Asians, with their honor culture and refusal to accept political correctness, are likely to escape the death trap.
