Ron Paul: Why a Top-tier Candidate Is Ignored by Republicans
by Jack Kerwick
It is hard
not to be amazed by the blackout of media coverage of Ron Pauls
presidential campaign. Had Newt Gingrich, Herman Cain, Rick Santorum,
Jon Huntsman, or any second-tier candidate been performing as remotely
as well as Paul has, he would no longer be regarded as a second-tier
candidate. To the credit of such left-leaning outlets like Jon
Stewart's The Daily Show and The
Huffington Post, this phenomenon has not gone unnoticed
think about this.
of the extent to which Paul has been ignored by the establishment
media in both of its leftist and rightist varieties, he unfailingly
elicits explosive applause in every GOP presidential primary debate
in which he has participated. A Fox
News poll, of all places, shows that the overwhelming majority
of its respondents hold that Ron Paul achieved a decisive victory
over all of the other candidates in the most recent debate in Iowa.
Of 7,991 active cities nationwide that participated
in the poll, and 43, 293 total votes, 27,459 people thought that
Paul won the debate. Newt Gingrich came in second place with
5, 906 votes.
Paul practically tied with Michele Bachmann for first place in the
Ames Straw Poll, a contest that is evidently so significant
that top-tier contender Tim Pawlentys third place
showing compelled him to abandon his campaign. Bachmann beat Paul
by a meager 152 votes.
Research Corporation poll released back in May showed that among
possible Republican contenders (Perry may not have been a consideration
as of yet), Paul stands the best chance of beating President Obama.
This poll showed Obama leading Paul by only seven percentage points,
while he lead Romney by eleven. Since then, however, things have
poll from August 23 shows that if the election were held today,
Mitt Romney would beat Obama by two percentage points (48%-46%)
and Rick Perry would tie with him (at 47%). It is true that this
same poll has Obama beating Paul by (only) two points (47%-45%);
but it has Obama beating top-tier candidate Bachmann
by four points (48%-44%)! However, when it comes to that
much cherished independent vote, Paul leads Obama
by three points. The significance of this vis-à-vis my contention
that Paul is a top-tier candidate himself and should be recognized
as such becomes obvious once we grasp that Romney is the only other
Republican candidate who leads Obama among independents by this
much (but only this much). Top-tier candidate
Perry leads Obama in this category by two points while top-tier
candidate Bachmann trails Obama among independents by six
In a Texas
poll among 882 highly active Republican voters, these
voters said that if the Texas primaries were held at the time that
the poll was taken, they would vote for Congressman Paul before
they would vote for any other Republican contender including
their own governor, Rick Perry (who was second choice).
I write this, a Gallup
Presidential Nomination preference poll shows that Paul has
leapt ahead of top-tier candidate Michele Bachmann and
is now third place behind Perry and Romney. Twenty-nine percent
of those polled prefer Perry; 17% are partial to Romney; and Paul
picks up 13% of the vote against Bachmanns 10%.
In any event, they are no substitute for actual votes. Still, the
point here is not that Paul is likely to get his partys nomination
or that he would actually win the general if he did; these propositions
it is not my purpose to either affirm or deny. Rather, the point
is only to show that by the very standards by which establishment
pundits and pollsters determine top-tier candidates, Paul should
be considered a top-tier candidate.
But he is not.
for this, I think, is pretty clear.
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© 2011 The New American