The Number One Catastrophic Event That Americans Worry About: Economic Collapse
Economic Collapse
Blog
Can you guess
what the number one catastrophic event that Americans worry about
is? There are certainly many to choose from. Many Americans are
deathly afraid of a major terrorist attack. Others live in constant
fear of natural disasters such as earthquakes, volcanoes and hurricanes.
Still others are incredibly concerned that a massive pandemic will
break out at any time or that World War III will erupt in the Middle
East. Yes, there are certainly a lot of potential catastrophic events
that one can worry about in the times in which we live, but the
number one catastrophic event that Americans worry about is actually
"economic collapse". At least that is what a recent
survey conducted by Leiflin Inc. for the EcoHealth Alliance
found. But this goes along with what so many other polls have found
over the past few years. Over and over again, opinion polls have
found that the number one issue that American voters are concerned
about is the economy. The truth is that average Americans are deeply,
deeply concerned about unemployment, debt, the housing crash and
the steady decline in the standard of living. It has been years
since the U.S. economy has operated at a "normal" level, and many
Americans are afraid that things could soon get a whole lot worse.
In the new
survey mentioned above, those contacted were asked to select the
top three potential catastrophes that worry them the most.
The following
results come directly from
the survey....
Economic Collapse:
63%
Natural Disaster: 46%
Terrorist Attack: 44%
Global Disease Outbreak: 33%
Global War: 27%
Nuclear Accident: 25%
Global Warming: 22%
Fuel Shortage: 15%
Cyber War: 8%
Famine: 8%
Oil Spill: 6%
Industrial Accident: 5%
As you can
see, "economic collapse" was the winner by a wide margin.
So are there
good reasons for the American people to be concerned about an economic
collapse?
Of course there
are.
Back in 2008,
a financial crisis that began on Wall Street was felt in the farthest
corners of the globe.
This time,
ground zero for the financial crisis is going to be in Europe. As
I have written about previously, the European
financial system is rapidly coming apart at the seams. The euro
continues to drop
like a rock, and banking stocks continue their long-term decline.
Many people
expect a "financial collapse" to happen on a particular day. But
that is not how it happens usually. Instead, it is often like a
snowball that starts rolling downhill very slowly at first but that
eventually become a huge avalanche.
Right now,
we are seeing the financial world come apart in slow motion. A recent
article posted on
Automatic Earth included a list of the year-to-date performance
of some of the most prominent global banking stocks. These numbers
are absolutely staggering....
- BofA:
60.38%
- Citi:
44.76%
- Goldman
Sachs: 46.41%
- JPMorgan:
23.03%
- Morgan
Stanley: 45.24%
- RBS:
50%
- Barclays:
34.32%
- Lloyds:
63.02%
- UBS:
29.33%
- Deutsche
Bank: 28,55%
- Crédit
Agricole: 56.04%
- BNP
Paribas: 37.67%
- Société
Générale: 59.57%
But because
these numbers happened over the course of a year and not on a single
day it doesn't feel quite as much like a "collapse".
Unfortunately,
things are about to get a whole lot worse. Global credit markets
are really freezing up especially in Europe.
Considering
the fact that the entire global financial system is based on credit
and debt, that is a very bad thing.
Our system
simply does not work when banks do not want to lend money to each
other or to businesses.
Just yesterday
there was an article in
the Guardian that talked about how it looks like the
credit crunch may be getting even worse....
"If European
banks are still this concerned, it's not a good sign," said Karl
Schamotta, senior markets strategist with Western Union Business
Solutions. "That underlines the possibility that this liquidity
crunch is getting worse and will continue into the new year."
When banks
cut back on lending, that causes the money supply to shrink. When
the money supply shrinks substantially, it is almost impossible
to avoid a recession. A recent article by
Ambrose Evans-Pritchard detailed how the money supply in many
eurozone nations is shrinking at a very rapid pace right now....
Simon
Ward from Henderson Global Investors said "narrow" M1 money –
which includes cash and overnight deposits, and signals short-term
spending plans – shows an alarming split between North and South.
While
real M1 deposits are still holding up in the German bloc, the
rate of fall over the last six months (annualised) has been 20.7pc
in Greece, 16.3pc in Portugal, 11.8pc in Ireland, and 8.1pc in
Spain, and 6.7pc in Italy. The pace of decline in Italy has been
accelerating, partly due to capital flight. "This rate of contraction
is greater than in early 2008 and implies an even deeper recession,
both for Italy and the whole periphery," said Mr Ward.
Those are very,
very frightening numbers.
About the only
thing propping up European banks right now is the fact that the
European Central Bank is loaning them gigantic piles of cheap money.
But there is
a big problem.
European banks
are running out of collateral for those loans as an article in
the Wall Street Journal recently noted....
Even
after the European Central Bank doled out nearly half a trillion
euros of loans to cash-strapped banks last week, fears about potential
financial problems are still stalking the sector. One big reason:
concerns about collateral.
The only
way European banks can now convince anyone institutional
investors, fellow banks or the ECB to lend them money is
if they pledge high-quality assets as collateral.
Now some
regulators and bankers are becoming nervous that some lenders'
supplies of such assets, which include European government bonds
and investment-grade non-government debt, are running low.
So what happens
when banks all over Europe start running out of collateral and can't
get any more loans?
The answer
should be obvious.
As I detailed
a
few days ago, many prominent voices in the financial world now
believe that we could be looking at a financial crisis that will
be even worse than 2008.
If you want
to see what happens when a collapse happens and a depression begins,
just look at what is happening in Greece....
- 100,000
businesses have been closed since the beginning of the crisis.
- About a
third of the nation is now living in poverty.
- The unemployment
rate for those under the age of 24 is 39
percent.
- The number
of suicides has increased by 40
percent in the past year.
- Thefts and
burglaries nearly
doubled between 2007 and 2009.
Things have
gotten so bad that hundreds
of families in Greece are abandoning their children.
Some are taking
their children to charitable institutions and others are handing
them directly over to the government.
The following
sad story of one Greek family comes from an article in
the Guardian....
"Psychologically
we were all in a bit of a mess," said Gasparinatos. "We were sleeping
on mattresses on the floor, the rent hadn't been paid for months,
something had to be done."
And so,
with Christmas approaching, the 42-year-old took the decision
to put in an official request for three of his boys and one daughter
to be taken into care.
"The
crisis had killed us. I am ashamed to say but it had got to the
point where I couldn't even afford the €2 needed to buy bread,"
he told the Guardian. "We didn't want to break up the family but
we did think it would be easier for them if four of my children
were sent to an institution for maybe two or three years."
Does that seem
shocking to you?
Well, all of
this is coming to America eventually.
Someday we
will see American parents abandoning their children because they
cannot take care of them anymore.
Someday we
will see suicides absolutely skyrocket in America because people
have lost all hope.
Someday we
will see thefts and burglaries soar to unprecedented heights as
millions of desperate people attempt to try to find some way to
survive.
It is all coming.
The federal
government cannot pile up a trillion dollars of additional
debt every year indefinitely.
We cannot afford
to see an average of 23
manufacturing facilities a day in the United States shut down.
Eventually there won't be anymore factories to shut down.
We cannot afford
to keep putting millions
more Americans on welfare. At this point the government is feeding
46 million Americans a month. Will the government eventually be
feeding most of us?
The U.S. economy
is getting weaker and weaker and weaker. All of the long-term trends
are absolutely nightmarish. We are accumulating debt faster than
ever, and our ability to produce wealth is diminishing faster than
ever.
There is no
way that things are going to be okay if we stay on the path that
we are currently on.
So the truth
is that Americans should be very concerned about
an economic collapse.
It is coming
and it is going to be very painful.
Reprinted
with permission from the Economic
Collapse Blog.
January
2, 2012
Copyright
© 2012 Economic
Collapse Blog
|