10 Tipping Points Which Could Potentially Plunge the World Into
a Horrific Economic Nightmare
Economic Collapse
Blog
The global
economy has become so incredibly unstable at this point that it
is not going to take much to plunge the world into a horrific economic
nightmare. The foundations of the world economic system are so decayed
and so corrupted that even a stiff breeze could potentially topple
the entire structure over. Over the past couple of months a constant
parade of bad economic news has come streaming in from Europe, Asia
and the United States. Signs of an impending economic slowdown are
everywhere. So what "tipping point" will trigger the next global
economic downturn? Nobody knows for sure, but potential tipping
points are all around us.
Today, the
global economic system is even more vulnerable than it was back
in 2008. Virtually none of the systemic problems that contributed
to the 2008 collapse have been fixed.
Mark Mobius,
the head of the emerging markets desk at Templeton Asset Management,
was
recently was quoted in Forbes as saying the following....
"There
is definitely going to be another financial crisis around the
corner because we haven’t solved any of the things that caused
the previous crisis."
The "financial
reform" law that Barack Obama and the Congress passed a while back
was a complete and total joke. They might as well have written the
law on toilet paper for all the good that it is doing.
We did not
learn from our mistakes and our future economic lessons are going
to be even more painful.
The world is
drowning in a mountain of debt, the global financial system is packed
to the gills with toxic derivatives, everyone is leveraged to the
hilt and the dominoes could start falling at any time.
I am not the
only one that is warning that another financial collapse is coming.
In fact, a whole lot of people have been warning about the
next financial collapse lately.
So what will
the tipping point for the next collapse be?
The following
are some potential nominees....
Tipping
Point #1: Syria
Syria is a
situation to watch very, very closely. The Syrian government is
in a lot of trouble right now. Sadly, the instability inside Syria
probably makes war with Israel even more likely.
Make no mistake
- a war between Israel and Syria has been brewing for a long, long
time and at some point it will happen. When it happens, the entire
Middle East may erupt in warfare.
Just the other
day, a very troubling incident happened in the area around the Golan
Heights. The following is an excerpt from a report by
The Daily Mail about the incident....
"About
20 pro-Palestinian demonstrators were killed and 325 injured yesterday
when Israeli forces opened fire on them as they crossed the border
from Syria into occupied territories, according to reports."
At this point,
the Syrian government is probably glad that the attention has been
taken off of them at least for a while. The Syrian government has
been getting a lot of bad press lately. The following is an excerpt
from a
recent report by Human Rights Watch about the treatment of protesters
inside Syria....
"The
methods of torture included prolonged beatings with sticks, twisted
wires, and other devices; electric shocks administered with Tasers
and electric batons; use of improvised metal and wooden 'racks';
and, in at least one case documented by Human Rights Watch, the
rape of a male detainee with a baton.
"Interrogators
and guards also subjected detainees to various forms of humiliating
treatment, such as urinating on the detainees, stepping on their
faces, and making them kiss the officers' shoes. Several detainees
said they were repeatedly threatened with imminent execution."
So in light
of the "precedent" that we recently set in Libya, does this mean
that we will be "forced" to conduct a "humanitarian mission" inside
Syria as well?
Syria is one
tipping point that we all need to keep a close eye on.
Tipping
Point #2: Iran
The Iranian
nuclear program is in the news again. A new report by RAND Corporation
researcher Gregory S. Jones claims that Iran could have a nuclear
weapon within
2 months. His report is based on recent findings by the International
Atomic Energy Agency. According to Jones, airstrikes alone would
be incapable of stopping Iran's nuclear weapons program at this
point. Instead, Jones says that a "military occupation" would be
required.
It is a minor
miracle that a war with Iran has not erupted yet. It seems almost
inevitable that at some point either the United States or Israel
will use military force to try to stop Iran's nuclear program.
When that happens,
it is going to cause a major shock to the global economy.
Tipping
Point #3: Libya
NATO has made
it abundantly clear that Moammar Gadhafi will no longer be tolerated.
In fact, NATO apparently plans to reduce Tripoli to a heap of smoking
ruins if that is what it takes to bring about the fall of Gadhafi.
What a "humanitarian
mission" we have going in Libya, eh? It turns out that NATO believes
that the United Nations gave it permission to bomb
television stations and to make attack runs with helicopters.
Russian Deputy
Prime Minister Sergei Ivanov recently said that by using attack
helicopters, NATO has
moved dangerously close to turning the Libya operation into
a ground invasion....
"Using
attack helicopters, in my view, is the last but one step before
the land operation."
So why is Libya
a potential tipping point?
It isn't because
Gadhafi is a threat. He is toast.
It is because
the rest of the world is watching what is happening in Libya, and
that is raising global tensions.
Even if Gadhafi
falls, the Libyan operation will still be a failure because it has
brought us all significantly closer to World War III.
Tipping
Point #4: More Revolutions In The Middle East
The revolutions
throughout the Middle East earlier this year sent oil prices absolutely
skyrocketing and they have remained at elevated levels.
And in case
you haven't noticed, revolutions continue to sweep the Middle East.
Have you seen
what has been happening in Yemen lately?
Yemeni President
Ali Abdullah Saleh has
burns over 40% of his body and he has suffered a collapsed lung
as a result of a recent attack.
If violence
and protests throughout the Middle East become even more intense
as the weather warms up this summer that could have a very significant
impact on world financial markets.
Tipping
Point #5: Fukushima
The mainstream
news has gotten a bit tired of covering it, but the situation at
Fukushima is still a complete and total disaster.
Japan's Nuclear
Emergency Response Headquarters admitted on Monday that three reactors
experienced "full
meltdowns" in the aftermath of the earthquake and tsunami in
March.
Did it really
take them nearly three months to figure this out, or were they lying
to the rest of the world all of this time?
The truth is
that the nuclear disaster at Fukushima is far worse than the mainstream
media has been telling us. If you doubt this, just check out this
excellent article or this article by Natural News: "Land
around Fukushima now radioactive dead zone; resembles target struck
by atomic bomb".
The economic
impact of the Fukushima disaster is going to continue to unfold
over an extended period of time. It turns out that Japan is
now officially in a recession. Their economy contracted at a
3.7 percent annualized rate during the first quarter.
Look for more
bad economic numbers to come out of Japan for the rest of the year.
Considering the fact that the Japanese economy is the third largest
economy in the world, the fact that they are struggling so badly
right now is not a good sign for the rest of us.
Tipping
Point #6: Oil Prices
The price of
oil is going to continue to be one of the biggest economic stories
for the rest of this year and for 2012 as well.
The last time
U.S. energy expenditures were over 9 percent of GDP was
in 2008 and we quickly plunged into the deepest economic downturn
since the Great Depression.
Well, we have
reached the significant 9 percent figure once
again in 2011, and many fear that once again high oil prices
will cause another major economic decline.
Tipping
Point #7: Government Austerity
In the United
States, it is not just the federal government that is drowning in
debt.
All over America,
there are state and local governments that are financial basket
cases.
I don't always
agree with the time frames that Meredith Whitney puts out there,
but she is absolutely correct that we are going to see a massive
municipal bond crisis. The following is an excerpt from a
recent report about Whitney's predictions on CNN....
"Meredith
Whitney is issuing a fresh warning to mutual funds, banks, and
politicians: The state of state finances is far worse than what
you think, or at least than what you've been willing to tell the
investors and taxpayers who will eventually carry the burden."
Many state
and local governments are attempting to get their budgets balanced
by making huge budget cuts. But most of the time these austerity
programs also include the elimination of a lot of government jobs.
UBS Investment
Research is projecting that state and local governments will combine
to slash a
whopping 450,000 jobs by the end of next year.
So where will
the half a million good jobs come from to replace all of those lost
jobs?
Tipping
Point #8: The European Sovereign Debt Crisis
Greece is just
the tip of the iceberg in Europe.
Moody's downgraded
Greek debt again last Wednesday. This time Moody's downgraded Greek
debt by three levels all the way down to
Caa1. At this point, the yield on 10-year Greek bonds is
over 15 percent.
The EU has
been going crazy trying to deal with the Greek debt crisis. The
truth is that a default by the Greek government would be absolutely
catastrophic. If you do not understand the kind of chaos a Greek
default would set off on world financial markets, just read this
editorial.
But Greece
is not the only major European nation with a massive debt problem.
The government
of Ireland is already indicating that
they may need another bailout.
Portugal, Spain
and Italy are also on the verge of collapse.
So will the
EU bail all of these nations out for years and years to come?
At some point
will the whole house of cards come crashing down?
Everyone needs
to keep watching what is going on in Europe. The status quo is not
sustainable and it cannot go on forever.
Tipping
Point #9: The Dying U.S. Dollar
The euro is
not the only major currency that is in trouble.
The U.S. dollar
is also slowly dying.
On April 18th,
Standard & Poor’s altered its outlook on U.S. government debt
from "stable" to "negative" and warned that the U.S. could
soon lose its prized AAA rating.
The sad truth
is that faith in the U.S. dollar and in U.S. Treasuries is rapidly
declining. The mainstream news is not reporting on it much, but
right now the Chinese are
rapidly dumping U.S. government debt.
As the dollar
declines, so will the purchasing power of average Americans. We
are already seeing a tremendous amount of inflation
in 2011.
But this is
just the beginning.
A lot worse
is going to be coming down the road.
Tipping
Point #10: Drought
A lot of people
that read my articles doubt that we will ever see a major global
food crisis.
But one is
coming.
It is just
a matter of time.
Even now, many
areas of the world are experiencing very serious droughts. The following
is from a recent Bloomberg
article....
Parts
of China, the biggest grower, had the least rain in a century,
some European regions are the driest in 50 years and almost half
the winter-wheat crop in the U.S., the largest exporter, is rated
poor or worse. Inventory is dropping 8.8 percent, the most in
five years, Rabobank International says. Prices will advance 20
percent to as high as $9.25 a bushel by Dec. 31, a Bloomberg survey
of 14 analysts and traders shows.
Are you concerned
yet?
You should
be.
But if you
prefer some mindless pablum that will make you feel better, we have
some of that for you too.
Larry Summers,
the former director of the National Economic Council under Barack
Obama, recently told CNBC
the following....
"We definitely
hit a slower patch, but I think the basic fact that the terrible
financial strains we had are abating, remains in place, and I
expect this recovery to continue for a substantial period of time."
Does that make
you feel better?
Larry Summers
says that everything is going to be okay.
It would be
great if Summers was actually right, but sadly he is not.
In fact, the
worst economic times that America has ever seen are ahead.
The following
is a brief excerpt from a recent interview with Dmitry Orlov about
the coming economic collapse that
was posted on shtfplan.com....
First
you have financial collapse, which is basically
the volume of debt that has to be taken on in order for the economy
to continue functioning, cannot continue. We’re seeing that right
now in Greece, we’re probably going to see that in Japan, we’re
definitely at a point now in the United States where even if you
raised the income tax to 100 percent, there’s absolutely no way
of covering the liabilities of the U.S. federal government. So,
we’re at that point now but the workout of the financial collapse
is not all quite there. We don’t quite have a worthless currency
but that’s in the works.
That,
of course, is followed by commercial collapse
especially in a country like the United States that imports two
thirds of its oil. A lot of that is on credit and if a
little bit of that oil goes missing then the economy starts to
fall apart because nothing moves unless you burn oil in the United
States and, of course, a lot of goods that are sold everywhere
are imported again, on credit.
When the U.S.
dollar dies and our financial system collapses we are not going
to be able to get all of the things that we need from the rest of
the world so cheaply any longer.
That is going
to cause fundamental changes inside the United States.
Right now,
the economic news just seems to get worse and
worse, but this is just the beginning.
What is eventually
going to happen in this country is going to be so nightmarish that
most Americans could not even imagine it right now.
So are our
leaders doing anything to prepare for the coming economic crisis?
No, they are
too busy with other things.
The big political
news of the day was U.S. Representative Anthony Weiner finally admitting
that he sent
out lewd photos of himself over Twitter to women that he was
not married to.
We have become
the laughingstock of the world and the economic collapse has not
even happened yet.
Reprinted
with permission from the Economic
Collapse Blog.
June
8, 2011
Copyright
© 2011 Economic
Collapse Blog
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