The Fed Balance Sheet: What Is Uncle Sam's Largest Asset?
by Doug Short
Advisor Perspectives
Note:
I've updated the quiz based on today's Q3 Flow of Funds release.
Hint: The correct answer is the same as it was for the last quiz,
just more incredible.
Pop Quiz! Without
recourse to your text, your notes or a Google search, what line
item is the largest asset on Uncle Sam's balance sheet?
A)
U.S. Official Reserve Assets
B) Total Mortgages
C) Taxes Receivable
D) Student Loans
The correct
answer, as of the latest Flow of Funds report is ... Student Loans.
The rapid growth
in student debt has been a frequent topic in the financial press.
One stunning chart that caught my attention illustrated the rapid
growth in federal loans to students since the onset of the great
recession. Here is a chart based on data from the Flow of Funds
Table L.105, which shows the Federal Government's assets and liabilities.
As I point
out on the chart, the two callouts are for Q4 2007, the quarter
in which the Great Recession began (December 2007) the most recent
quarter on record, Q3 2012. The loan balance has risen and astonishing
448 percent over that timeframe, most of which dates from after
the recession.
This chart
only includes federal loans to students. Private loans make up an
even larger amount. Earlier this year the Consumer Financial Protection
Bureau (CFPB) posted an article with the attention-grabbing title:
Too
Big to Fail: Student debt hits a trillion.
But back to
our quiz. Student loans may be a liability on the consumer balance
sheet, but they constitute an asset for Uncle Sam. Just how big?
Over 36 percent of the total federal assets, about 4.5 times the
8 percent for the total mortgages outstanding and over three times
the size of Taxes Receivable.
Of course,
assets are, sadly, the trivial side of Uncle Sam's Flow of Funds
balance sheet about 1.39 Trillion. The liability side totaled
13.11 Trillion at the end of Q3.
The current
banter is all about the Fiscal Cliff, but that complex set of issues
will be addressed one way or another before the next
quarterly update of this grim quiz. However, the student loan bubble,
the biggest slice in Uncle Sam's pie, will haunt our economy for
many years to come.
December
11, 2012
Copyright
© 2012 by LewRockwell.com. Permission to reprint in whole or in
part is gladly granted, provided full credit is given.
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