As I write
this, a new day is dawning in Libya. The “people’s revolt” against
yet another tyrant is unquestionably exciting, and the demise
(political and/or otherwise) of Muammar Qaddafi will, of course,
be widely hailed. But barely below the surface something else
is going on, and it concerns not the Libyan “people”, but an elite.
In reality, a narrowly-based Libyan elite is being supplanted
by a much older, more enduring one of an international variety.
The media,
as is so often the case, has botched its job. Thus virtually all
of its resources over the past six months have gone into providing
us with an entertainment, a horse race, a battle, with almost
no insight into the deeper situation.
It’s true
that Qaddafi, like many perhaps a majority of rulers
in his region, was a thug and a brute, if at times a comical figure.
But one doesn’t need to be an apologist for him nor deny
the satisfaction of seeing the citizenry joyously celebrating
his ouster to demand some honesty about the motives behind
his removal. Especially when it comes to our own government’s
role in funding it, and thus every American’s unwitting participation
in that action.
Let’s start
with the official justification for NATO’s launch of its bombing
campaign for without that campaign, it’s highly improbable
the rebels could ever have toppled Qaddafi. We were told from
the beginning that the major purpose of what was to be very
limited bombing indeed, its sole purpose was
to protect those Libyan civilians rebelling against an oppressive
regime from massive retaliation by Qaddafi. Perhaps because of
NATO’s initial intervention, the feared Qaddafi-sponsored, genocidal
bloodletting never did occur. (At least, not beyond the military
actions one would expect a government to take when facing a civil
war: after all, remember General Sherman’s “scorched earth” policy
in the US Civil War?). However, protecting civilians apparently
didn’t generate sufficient public support for intervention, so
we started to hear about other purported reasons for it. Qaddafi
was encouraging his soldiers to…commit mass rape! And giving them
Viagra! And condoms!
You can’t
make this sort of thing up. And yet that’s just what the NATO
crew did made it up. The media, always glad to have a “sexy”
story, especially a sick sexy story, even a sick sexy story with
no evidence to back it up, covered this ad nauseum, but
never bothered to find out if it was true.
We’ve been
expressing doubts about these claims, for a number of reasons
including logic for some time now. (For more on
that, see this
and this
and this.)
But it’s tough to counterpoise hot-button issues with
rationality. If you questioned the mass rape story, you were a
“rape-enabler.” If you pointed out that Qaddafi was being bombed
for anything other than humanitarian reasons, you were a “Qaddafi-lover.”
The media
was so gullible that the professional disinformation guys went
onto auto-pilot, recycling tired old tropes that nobody ought
to be buying anymore. For example, most news outlets reported
recently that Libya had fired a SCUD missile at the rebels.
“That
it didn’t hit anything or kill anyone is not the point. It’s
a weapon of mass destruction that Col. Qaddafi
is willing to train on his own people,” said one Western official.
If the effort
to rally public opinion against Qaddafi centered on any one factor,
it was fury over Libya’s purported role in the 1988 bombing of
Pan Am flight 103 over Lockerbie, Scotland. As we noted in a previous
article, in the years since the conviction of a Libyan intelligence
officer in the tragedy, a chorus of doubts has grown steadily.
The doubt is based on new forensic evidence and research, plus
subsequent claims by prosecution witnesses that their testimony
was the result of threats, bribes, or other forms of coercion.
It is an ugly and disturbing story, not well known to the larger
news audience.
Yet Lockerbie
has continued to touch nerves. In February, when Qaddafi’s Justice
Minister turned against him and became a rebel leader, he brought
with him dynamite. Mustafa Mohamed Abud Al Jeleil made the dramatic
claim
that his ex-boss was the culprit behind the bombing of Pan Am
103. He asserted that he had proof of Qaddafi giving the direct
order for the crime. This got considerable media attention, though
almost no news organizations followed up or reported that Jeleil
never did supply that proof. The Libyan convicted of the crime
has consistently denied any involvement. Nonetheless, his conviction
in the case has had Qaddafi on the defensive for years
and working hard to prove to the West that he can be a “good citizen.”
Part of this has entailed his paying out huge sums in reparations.
From the
beginning of the Libya saga in February until now, the NATO coalition
has never wavered from its initial declaration of humanitarian
motives. And, to be sure, we may still learn of horrible, previously-unknown
atrocities by Qaddafi. Still, the United States
and its allies have little history of using their might strictly
to protect civilians. If so, millions of South Sudanese, Rwandans
and others might not be in their graves.
Besides,
with all the talk about Qaddafi harming his citizens, what about
the effect of more than 7000 yes, seven thousand
NATO bombing runs? We heard constant reports about how Qaddafi
was facing charges of “war crimes,” with never a word about NATO.
To learn the impact
of this massive unleashing, you had to be visiting little-known
sources such as the Canadian website, Global Research, which often
probes beyond official Western accounts of global interventions.
Some Western
military officials couldn’t even be bothered to participate in
the “humanitarianism” charade. For example, the top British general
explicitly
stated that the objective was really to remove Qaddafi. Nobody
including the media paid much attention to this
admission, perhaps because it was already assumed to be the case.
Qaddafi should
never be seen as a victim indeed, he has always been sleazy
and monstrous in various ways. But the US and its allies appear
to have cared little about this, while being deeply troubled by
his role as a fly in the geopolitical ointment. A look at the
long and complex historical relationship between Qaddafi and the
West begins to explain the true reason he had to go. It also dovetails
perfectly with a growing body of indications that Western elites
encouraged and even provoked the uprising while tapping
into deep discontent with the dictator.
Qaddafi has
long been a thorn in the side of the West’s oil industry and their
national security apparatus. In the early 1970s he worked closely
with Occidental Petroleum chairman Armand Hammer in thwarting
the ambitions of the oil majors. He was a leader in the boycott
of Israel and often cozied up to the Soviet Union.
Back in the
1980s, the Reagan Administration plotted for five years to get
rid of Qaddafi and sent 18 U.S. warplanes in April 1986 to eliminate
the “Mad Dog of the Middle East.” Reporter Seymour Hersh actually
did investigate the whys and wherefores of the ensuing bombings
over Tripoli. (The bombings killed the Libyan dictator’s daughter
but obviously failed to achieve their primary objective). Hersh’s
piece in the February 22nd, 1987 New York Times
Magazine, “Target Qaddafi,” has striking echoes in the NATO
attacks of 2011. It revealed:
- “Internal
manipulation and deceit” on the part of the White House to disguise
its real intentions, namely, to assassinate Qaddafi;
- Denials
after the raid on Qaddafi’s compound that he had been a target,
insisting that the compound hit was “a command-and-control”
building;
- The training
of Libyan exiles, armed by Israel, to infiltrate Libya through
Tunisia.
- The creation
of a pretext for the attacks. In this case, it was the April
5, 1986 bombing of the La Belle discotheque in West Berlin,a
hangout of American servicemen. This bombing was blamed on Libya
“based on intercepted communications,” despite the explicit
rejection of this claim by Berlin’s then-chief of anti-terrorist
police.
- The revelation,
according to one intelligence official, that “We came out with
this big terrorist threat to the U.S. government. The whole
thing was a complete fabrication.”
- As for
real motives, Hersh discerned from a three-month investigation
that the Reagan Administration saw Qaddafi as being pro-Soviet,
“relentlessly anti-Israel,” and a supporter of extreme elements
in Syria as opposed to “the more moderate regimes in Jordan
and Egypt.”
- Qaddafi’s
“often-stated ambition to set up a new federation of Arab and
Moslem states in North Africa” frightened policy makers about
their access to minerals.
It’s this
that has to be considered as background for the true story of
Libya the one the Western media cannot, or will not now,
report.
BEHIND
LIBYA’S “SPONTANEOUS REVOLUTION”
What the
media has so relentlessly characterized as the “spontaneous uprising”
of February 2011 was hardly spontaneous. It began even before
the Arab Spring itself commenced in Tunisia during December of
last year and it was orchestrated by the West.
In October
2010, Qaddafi’s protocol chief, Nouri Al-Mesmari, arrived in France,
purportedly for medical treatment. But he had his family with
him, and the declared reason for his trip was a cover story. He
almost immediately plunged into talks with the French and their
intelligence service. He argued that Qaddafi was weak. He pointed
out breaches in Qaddafi’s national security shield that made it
possible to take him down. (More on this can be found on the subscription-newsletter
site
“Africa Intelligence.”)
In December,
Mesmari was joined by three Western-educated Libyan businessmen
who had years earlier staged an unsuccessful revolt against Qaddafi.
It didn’t take long for the French government of Nicolas Sarkozy
to sign on to a covert effort to topple Qaddafi. There are multiple
possible reasons for this, including intra-European competition,
notably with the Italians, who enjoyed a particularly close relationship
with Qaddafi and an inside track on Libya’s oil. In addition,
the French were deeply concerned about illegal immigration from
Arab and African countries,via Libya, that they felt was tolerated
or even encouraged by Qaddafi. The French began talking with the
British, who shared many of their concerns and a history of cooperation
on covert projects.
In November,
a French trade delegation, including representatives of multinational
corporations, traveled to Benghazi in Eastern Libya. That delegation
has been characterized by Africa Intelligence’s Maghreb Confidential
as having included French military officials under commercial
cover, assessing the possibilities on the ground.
The New Year’s
uprising in Tunisia, followed in rapid succession by those in
other Arab states, created a kind of perfect storm, arguably even
a smoke screen for the “popular revolt.” (It is interesting to
note the above newsletter’s assertion that Mesmari paid a brief
visit to Tunisia in October on his way to France.)
“Muammer
Kadhafi’s [i.e., Muammar Qaddafi’s] chief of protocol, Nouri
Mesmari, is currently in Paris after stopping off in Tunisia.
Normally, Mesmari sticks closely to his boss’s side, so there’s
some talk that he may have broken his long-standing tie with
the Libyan leader.”
Egypt followed
quickly on Tunisia’s heels, and on February 16, just days after
the dictator Hosni Mubarak was toppled in neighboring Egypt, peaceful
demonstrations began in Benghazi after calls went out on
Facebook for people to take to the streets in protest over the
arrest of a human rights lawyer. (The lawyer, Fethi Tarbel, was
quickly released news organizations do not appear to have
scrutinized who ordered Tarbel arrested, or exactly why
though this was the seminal event that would ultimately lead to
the end of Qaddafi’s regime.)
On February
27, a National Transitional Council, made up of politicians, ex-military
officers, tribal leaders, businessmen and academics, announced
its launching in Benghazi as the rebel leadership. Not surprisingly,
no mention was made of the French back story.
The Italian
intelligence services, intent on preserving that country’s advantageously
close relationship with Qaddafi, began trying to leak what was
going on. (More on the extent of the coziness between Libya and
Italian oil companies, and between Qaddafi and Italian Prime Minister
Silvio Berlusconi here.)
When it proved unable to stop the operation, the Italian government
seemingly decided to switch and try to head this particular parade,
lest the spoils go to the others.
The United
States was late to this affair, but determined to get its share
of the picnic. The US has been as nervous about Qaddafi’s relationship
with Russia’s Putin as France was about his ties to Italy.
CIA was ready
with its own man and plan. As we previously
noted, Khalifa Hifter, a former Libyan army officer, had spent
the past two decades living just down the road from CIA headquarters,
with no apparent source of income. In 1996, while a resident of
Vienna, Virginia, he organized a Benghazi-based revolt that failed.
When the current uprising was sputtering in March, CIA sent Hifter
in to take command.
When the
rebels were being routed, the United Nations Security Council
approved a no-fly order for Qaddafi. The NATO bombing began almost
immediately, under the “humanitarian” label.
Before long,
other European countries had covert elements in Libya. The British
paper, The Guardian, has just
reported the role of British special forces in coordinating
the rebels on the ground. This was denied by the UK government
. But then another British paper, The Telegraph, cited
UK defense sources saying special forces had been in Libya already
for weeks, i.e., since early August.)
For the
first time, defence sources have confirmed that the SAS has
been in Libya
for several weeks, and played a key role in co-ordinating the
fall of Tripoli.
Now that
it is all over, expect details to emerge daily. For example, see
this
from the Daily Beast on the extent of US involvement behind the
scenes, including:
[A]t NATO
headquarters outside Brussels, the U.S.was intimately involved
in all decisions about how the Libyan rebels should be supported
as they rolled up control of cities and oil refineries and marched
toward the capital, Tripoli.
NATO’S
MARE NOSTRUM
Ok, so certain
Western powers wanted, really, really badly, to oust Qaddafi.
But why exactly? France’s intra-European competitive motive was
certainly one factor. But there was more.
Back in 2007,
European Union leaders were seriously toying with the idea of
NATO-izing the entire Mediterranean, turning it into the new mare-nostrum
originally contemplated in Roman days. In 2007, France’s President
Nicholas Sarkozy invited 27 European Union heads of state to launch
a “Mediterranean union.” He also invited 17 non-EU Mediterranean
countries to use, as Britain’s Daily
Telegraph put it, “imperial Rome's centre of the world as
a unifying factor linking 44 countries that are home to 800 million
people."
One leader
did not buy in, however: Muammar Qaddafi. He claimed the scheme
would divide Africa and the Arab World. "We shall have another
Roman empire and imperialist design,” he was quoted as saying
in July, 2008. “There are Imperialist maps and designs that we
have already rolled up. We should not have them again."
Qaddafi was
particularly
angered that an earlier plan, which contemplated building
closer co-operation among a few southern European and North African
states bordering the Mediterranean, had been replaced with one
which included the whole EU, the Middle East and Israel
in the new "Union."
"It is unbelievable
that I would come to my own country and people and say that I
have a union with Israel. It is very dangerous," he said, referring
to the possibility of the plan fomenting jihadism throughout Europe,
not just the Middle East.
Despite this
“insult,” however, Qaddafi had been attempting for some time to
get his country out of the near-global embargo imposed after blame
for the Lockerbie bombing was laid at Libya’s feet. And the West,
for its part, had been largely in a great hurry to “forgive”
and to get access to Libya’s riches.
While Qaddafi
was discussing with the Russians in 2007, for instance, the prospect
of building a Russian military base in Libya, he’d also been busy
rapidly repairing relations with other potential allies. French
President Sarkozy visited that year, and signed a number of agreements,
including a deal for France to build a nuclear-powered facility
to desalinate ocean water for drinking. The next year, Qaddafi
signed a cooperation treaty with Italy’s Berlusconi. And American
secretary of state Condi Rice came calling in 2008, accelerating
the thaw George W. Bush had avidly begun early in his administration.
In recent
years, Qaddafi was on such good behavior that U.S. officials showered
him with the sort of praise usually reserved for those officially
deemed to be close allies. If that sounds unlikely, all you need
to do is watch this
video of Republican Sen. John McCain on an August 2009 visit
to Tripoli with his buddy Joe Lieberman, known
to most as a pro-Israel, pro-Iraq-war hawk gushing about
Qaddafi and his regime. Emerging from meetings, they evoked a
spirit of friendship and mutual respect, and endorsed the US providing
defense equipment to that regime. (Ever the political
animal, in recent weeks, the very same McCain who led that delegation
has turned to criticizing Obama for not being willing to bomb
Libya heavily enough.)
A cable
from the US embassy in Tripoli, released by WikiLeaks, confirms
that on the 2009 visit,
"Lieberman
called Libya an important ally in the war on terrorism, noting
that common enemies sometimes make better friends," the cable
continues. "The Senators recognized Libya's cooperation on counterterrorism
and conveyed that it was in the interest of both countries to
make the relationship stronger."
This rapprochement
was characterized by a land rush of Western corporations that
had long coveted their share of Libya’s oil revenues. Leading
the way was the investment bank Goldman Sachs. Qaddafi and his
advisers trusted Goldman’s claims that it would turn handsome
profits with any funds entrusted to it. Yet Goldman managed to
lose an astonishing 98
percent of the funds, which were the
Libyan people’s sovereign wealth. No matter. Goldman was soon
back with more brilliant ideas including suggesting, at
the height of the Wall Street crisis, that Qaddafi buy a substantial
stake in the Goldman firm itself.
Qaddafi was
faced with these huge losses at the very time Libya was carrying
a crushing obligation of reparations for the Lockerbie bombing
that had been pressed on Libya as a condition of its re-emergence
from years of isolation, and he began to worry about how he would
pay for it all. Keeping the Libyan population at a relatively
high standard of living (compared certainly to neighboring Egypt)
was essential to his maintaining power. It was at this point that
Qaddafi began
pressing foreign oil companies to increase the royalties they
pay, and the companies began grousing about it.
Could this
hardening of postures have contributed to the sudden decision
to oust a man who had worked hard to ingratiate himself with the
West?
At least
two factors appear to have come together to create an impossible
situation for Qaddafi: (1) The French, perhaps impatient with
Qaddafi’s independence, and frustrated with his Italian alliance,
began considering whether they might effect a change of government
in Libya. And (2) the Arab Spring. Suddenly, a startling number
of the thuggish Middle Eastern allies of the NATO countries began
to come under threat. For a number of U.S. Eastern Establishment
types, at least, these regional spasms of disaffection and bravery
seemed to come as a genuine surprise. The Council on Foreign Affairs
produced articles titled “What Just Happened?” and “Why No One
Saw it Coming,” in the May/June issue of its Foreign Affairs
magazine, dedicated to “the New Arab Revolt.”
No one seemed
to know for certain what was going to happen, although there was
plenty of Monday morning quarterbacking about how the Arab Spring
was entirely predictable in light of the world-wide financial
meltdown in 2008-09 and a growing restiveness in the Arab world.
(See also our recent
article about a correlation between skyrocketing food prices
and the revolts.)
But while
it may take years to put the Arab Spring in its proper perspective,
it surely had begun to occur to foreign policy elites that NATO’s
plans for a militarized Mediterranean would be susceptible to
unraveling if Libya’s unpredictable Qaddafi remained…unpredictable.
Especially with the NATO-allied dictator Mubarak on his way out
and Egypt destabilized.
A mere glance
at the map reveals the strategic location of Libya. Right next
to Egypt. Large. Unlike Egypt, full of oil. And of a particularly
sought-after grade of sweet crude oil. (If you had momentarily
forgotten how incredibly important oil is to Western government
and corporations, consider this news item: Exxon Mobil reported
second quarter profits of $10.7 billion, up 41 percent from
the previous year.)
In other
words, Libya is both sitting on gobs of oil and perfectly, strategically
located for military bases to protect that oil and the oil of
nearby countries, including Saudi Arabia, whose citizens have
expressed hostility to the siting of American troops there. Almost
nobody could stand Qaddafi. So if he were pushed out, who would
complain?, By getting behind the rebels (or, even better, helping
to create and fortify the rebels) the forces of the West
might be able to have their own Arab Spring.
WHAT?
IT’S ALL ABOUT OIL?
In an inexcusable
affront to the public, the media (with notable exceptions such
as The Guardian) has largely waited until Qaddafi was
destroyed to begin focusing on this incredibly obvious oil factor.
One example is a piece just
published by the New York Times. How useful is it
to allow the one-sided demonization of this man, and then, when
he is on his way out, to begin saying, Oh, by the way, it
was always about oil?
The piece
focuses on the rebels’ plans to favor the countries who backed
them over those who preferred a negotiated settlement with Qaddafi:
“We don’t
have a problem with Western countries like Italians, French
and U.K. companies,” Abdeljalil Mayouf, a spokesman for the
Libyan rebel oil company Agoco, was quoted by Reuters as saying.
“But we may have some political issues with Russia, China and
Brazil.”
Russia,
China and Brazil did not back strong sanctions on the Qaddafi
regime, and they generally supported a negotiated end to the
uprising. All three countries have large oil companies that
are seeking deals in Africa.
This feels
like Iraq Redux, only with different players and, so far, a different
outcome. In 2003, Germany and “Freedom-fries” France refused to
join the “Coalition of the Willing” in George W. Bush’s invasion
of Iraq. Why? Because they had pending oil deals with Saddam Hussein.
There are
other possible factors, including Qaddafi’s unique influence as
an uncontrollable, Castro/Chavez-style independent nationalist
with influence throughout the region. Qaddafi was an avid promoter
of African unity, of governments that would remain free from the
influence of the major powers. He poured a lot of money into South
Africa, for instance, when it was struggling to free itself from
Western influence after the fall of the apartheid regime there.
As Qaddafi was going down to defeat, the West began pressuring
South Africa to turn over frozen Libyan funds. (Not incidentally,
there’s more than $35 billion of frozen Libyan assets in the U.S.,
and a comparable sum in Europe.)
African nationalism
remains a big concern for Western mining, banking and industrial
interests. Though the people of Africa remain desperately poor,
the continent is the earth’s richest potential source of precious
and strategic metals, minerals and resources of every stripe.
In hindsight,
the Libyan “revolution” may be viewed as a clever effort to harness
genuine domestic discontent to a global competition for the resources
necessary to sustain the industrial West as well as newly emerging
industrial countries like China, India and Brazil. Refracted this
way, the whole NATO involvement in Libya appears
to be, at root, business as usual. As they say in law enforcement,
follow the money. In the midst of a severe fiscal crisis, Pentagon
spending alone on Libya through the end of July was $896 million.
Will everyone who believes that the Western military establishment
is spending such vast sums to further the “aspirations of the
Libyan people,” please raise their hands?
At this juncture,
it seems realistic to expect the US and its allies to settle in,
nice and comfortable, on Libyan “assets” for a very long time.
Anyone who doubts that might want to check out US
statements, not widely discussed, of intent for US troops
to remain in Iraq well past the original troop departure date.
Or a proposal for the same thing in Afghanistan see this
report about a desire to keep substantial military personnel
there through 2024. Then do a little reading on the potentially
$1 trillion worth of minerals in Afghanistan which the
US says it only recently learned about. (Wink, wink.) As The
New York Times reported
in June, 2010 (the story generated little public reaction):
The previously
unknown deposits including huge veins of iron, copper,
cobalt, gold and critical industrial metals like lithium
are so big and include so many minerals that are essential to
modern industry that Afghanistan could eventually be transformed
into one of the most important mining centers in the world,
the United States officials believe.
An internal
Pentagon memo, for example, states that Afghanistan could become
the “Saudi Arabia of lithium,” a key raw material in the manufacture
of batteries for laptops and BlackBerrys.
Some will
say that ascribing solely selfish motives to Western “liberators”
is too cynical. For one thing, aren’t the rebels at least an improvement
on Qaddafi in terms of human rights, liberties, and so forth?
For a possible
answer, it’s worth
reading the British journalist Patrick Cockburn. He nicely
sums up the craziness, brutality and internecine murder taking
place in the rebels’ ranks without proper Western media attention.
They appear to have killed one or possibly two of their own commanding
generals on suspicion of treachery or at least being partial
to the wrong faction. For example, we’ve been hearing in
part via a seemingly well-informed individual inside Libya
that the reason the rebels killed their own commander-in-chief
General Abdul Fatah Younis was his advocacy of
negotiations with Qaddafi. If that’s correct and these
subjects need more reporting by the news organizations there on
the ground then we’d like to know what position all those
Western spooks took on the ouster and killing of this man.
Continuing
on this score, we have the plight of black Libyans, generally
among the poorest in the country. We’ve seen a steady stream of
indications
that, almost by definition, anyone black in Libya (many African
migrant workers but also some Libyan citizens) has been lumped
in with Qaddafi’s non-Libyan African mercenaries, considered a
suspected Qaddafi loyalist and therefore targeted for harassment,
physical violence and death.
Meanwhile,
the rebels have released, en masse, prisoners linked
to extremist Islamic movements. And one analyst is currently asserting
that an Al Qaeda-linked figure is the new military commander of
post-Qaddafi Tripoli.
Here’s another
twist: The Libyan convicted in the Lockerbie bombing, released
in 2009 from jail in Scotland and allowed to return home for health
reasons, is now, according to CNN, on his death bed, said to be
deprived of medicines due to the recent looting of Libyan pharmacies.
Once the rebels had consolidated their hold over Tripoli, CNN
found
Abdel Basset al-Megrahi comatose, and while he has consistently
maintained his innocence, it is unlikely the world will ever learn
what he knows. With him and Qaddafi disappearing from the scene,
any demand for a deeper inquiry into the bombing will likely evaporate.
But where
is the West in all of this? A leaked
plan for post-Qaddafi Libya shows how elaborately involved
NATO has been in the entire operation. It includes a carefully
thought-out proposal for avoiding the mistakes made in the Iraq
occupation including embracing most of Qaddafi’s security
forces, and an initial occupying force “resourced and supported”
by the United Arab Emirates, with essentially no (visible) Western
“boots on the ground.”
Doesn’t this
sound more and more like an invasion, for spoils? And one that
could notwithstanding lessons supposedly learned
quickly get very messy?
Additional
research by Charlotte Dennett