Economic Fascism and the Bailout Economy
by
Gary North
by Gary North
I have lived
through three monumental historical events. I remember only two
of them.
I do not remember
the dropping of the two atomic bombs in August of 1945. As symbols
of scientific world transformation, this constituted the most momentous
event of the 20th century. This breakthrough, so far, has not led
to nuclear war, even though on several occasions, it looked as though
nuclear war was a distinct possibility. Nevertheless, the arrival
of the nuclear age heralded a transformation of the modern world.
We have not yet seen the end of that transformation.
Martin van
Creveld, the great military historian in the State of Israel, has
argued that the nuclear age ruined the plans of empire for large
nations. They could no longer risk a war with each other. Yet spending
on empire increased. Today, large states face resistance from non-State
groups. The Soviet Union went down when the Afghans beat them by
using Stinger missiles. The USSR was an empire, and an empire that
loses to insurgents has lost its reason for existence.
We are about
to experience a similar defeat in the same country.
There have
been two other major events since 1945. I suppose most people would
agree on at least one of them: the collapse of the Soviet Union,
August 1921, 1991. While the collapse of the Berlin wall in
1989 was the symbolic evidence of the collapse of the Soviet empire,
that did not become clear until August of 1991. Historically, there
has been nothing to match that disintegration. No empire that large
ever collapsed that fast without bloodshed. I was here to see it.
There are
old-line anti-Communists who still insist that it was all fake,
that it is all a deception, that the Communists are still running
the show in Russia. They do not understand the difference between
fascism and Communism. The Russian system is fascist to the core:
State-run capitalism.
We are now
seeing what hard-core liberals always predicted would happen: the
economic convergence of the two systems, USA and USSR. The system
of economic convergence is fascism. That was what the liberals always
wanted, but called it something else: "economic democracy" or "the
government-business alliance."
SEPTEMBER/OCTOBER
2008
The second
event that I regard as almost comparable in importance to the collapse
of the Soviet Union was the collapse of the American banking system
that took place in September and October of 2008.
No one saw
that collapse coming in August. The senior rulers of the United
States I do not mean politicians have watched in horror
as institutions that had survived since the mid-19th century went
down: investment banks. These were banks that did not take deposits
from the general public. They pooled large quantities of capital
from private, wealthy investors. Within a matter of weeks, that
business model collapsed. The investment banks scrambled to restructure
their legal operations so as to be defined as commercial banks and
therefore become eligible for the Federal bailout money. Meanwhile,
huge commercial banks almost went bankrupt. They did not go bankrupt
only because of government intervention and because larger banks
absorbed them. Wachovia went down. Washington Mutual went down.
The share prices of the two largest banks in the United States,
the Bank of America and Citigroup, are still close to penny share
status.
Anyone who
does not understand the magnitude of what is taking place is an
economic ignoramus. I have plenty of these ignorami contacting me,
telling me it was all planned by the insiders. The conspiracy has
won again! In their worldview, the conspiracy always wins. That
is because they believe that the conspiracy has the attributes of
God. It is omniscient, omnipotent, and omnipresent.
Here is their
intellectual problem. They do not believe in the free market. They
cannot conceive of a social institution based on voluntarism that
can break the backs of government planners and central bankers.
They will believe anything but this. They think of themselves as
defenders of the free market. But they do not grasp the power of
the free market to enforce consumers' decisions.
The conspiracy
of well-placed insiders is now tottering. The whole structure of
the national American political system has rested on the solvency
of the largest American banks. These banks have all been called
into question. They are now gutted.
The thought
that commercial bank insiders actively demolished trillions of dollars
of their own equity as part of a conspiratorial plan is so imbecilic,
so outrageous, so ludicrous, that I am convinced that these conspiracy
worshippers have lost whatever remained of their minds. They have
been gutted intellectually, just as the banks have been gutted financially.
Some of them
probably think that Communists still run Russia. Ex-Communists do:
bureaucrats, mobsters, and KGB agents. But Communism is dead. How
do I know? Look at a map of Russia. Look for the old names: Stalingrad
and Leningrad. Gone. Maps tell a great deal about a civilization.
Russian maps tell us that Communism is dead.
The American
conspirators have lost the one thing that they thought they had:
control over the nation and the nation's finances by means of the
fractional reserve banking system. That system is coming unglued,
just as Ludwig von Mises said it would, just as Murray Rothbard
said it would, and just as those other Austrian economists who understand
the enormous weakness of the fractional reserve system had said
would eventually take place.
I wonder sometimes
if there is anything coherent remaining in what is generally called
the conservative movement. Do any of these people have a clue as
to what has been taking place? We are seeing the disintegration
of the fractional reserve banking system all over the world. It
is being held together by bailouts, which are the government equivalent
of bailing wire and chewing gum.
The only thing
holding the whole structure together is an enormous residual faith
in the State and a naïve faith that deficits don't matter. That
phrase is associated with supply-side conservatives and the vast
majority of those people who call themselves Chicago School economists.
Supply-siders said it, and Chicago School economists cautiously
chimed in, "Someday, maybe deficits will matter, but not soon. At
the margin this year, next year, and until I am dead
deficits don't matter." It has been the Austrian School economists
who have warned, decade after decade, that the increase in the Federal
debt would eventually threaten the solvency of the government and
the stability of the dollar. Now that this is visibly coming true,
we still do not hear from professional economists cries of warning
regarding trillion-dollar annual Federal deficits. They say nothing,
except when they say it is a good idea, because it is necessary,
because we have got to save the banks, because we have got to regulate
the economy, and, most of all, because the unhampered free market
system really does not work. This is what we are getting from people
who have generally been known as free market economists. They are
lining up as cheerleaders as the banks go to the Federal trough.
The Federal deficit soars into astronomical regions, and the monetary
base soars just as fast, yet the academic economists are silent.
This is not the silence of the lambs; this is a silence of unindicted
co-conspirators, most of whom teach in tax-supported universities
and spend their careers writing unreadable articles in unread academic
journals in order to get tenure, so that the taxpayers can never
fire them. These people are apologists for the State. Most of them
have been on a public payroll all of their lives. These are the
people who, in the name of conservative free-market principles,
are supposed to stand in the gap to warn us that the ship of state
is going over the falls.
Don't hold
your breath.
WHAT
IS TO BE DONE?
What can be
done about it? Politically, nothing. The American political system
has been soft-core fascist for almost a century. Liberals love to
call conservatives fascists. The problem is, the liberals are right.
Of course, well-informed conservatives like to call liberals fascists,
and they are correct, too. Everyone who believes in the efficiency
of the so-called government-business alliance is a fascist.
The fascist
State was always an attempt to control private industry by means
of inflation, taxation, and regulation. Fascism was always a system
of keeping the big boys alive and happy at the expense of the taxpayers.
Of course, the faces changed. The system was always one gigantic
system of cartels, regulation, and fiat money. It was, in short,
everything that the critics of modern capitalism say is wrong with
capitalism. This is why John Maynard Keynes wrote this in his
Foreword to the German edition of his General
Theory (1936).
The
theory of aggregated production, which is the point of the following
book, nevertheless can be much easier adapted to the conditions
of a totalitarian state [eines totalen Staates] than the
theory of production and distribution of a given production put
forth under conditions of free competition and a large degree of
laissez-faire. This is one of the reasons that justifies the fact
that I call my theory a general theory.
The modern economic
system is one gigantic interlocking system of promised bailouts,
beginning with Social Security. In commerce, it is a system designed
to keep large producers protected from consumers. It has never been
anything else ever since the national political triumph of the Progressive
movement in the fateful year of 1912. In that year, the three candidates
for President were statists to the core, all followers of the Progressivist
doctrines, all advocates of central banking, and all happy to see
the Federal government expand control over business throughout the
country, and throughout the world.
This is not
the story we get in the history textbooks, because the textbook
writers love what was done in 1912 and subsequently. The public
school system has taught that this was the salvation of capitalism
ever since.
We are now
seeing the unraveling of the entire system, all over the world.
Whatever happens from this point on, economic production will be
hampered by ever-increasing regulation. The government is now intervening
to save the banks, which means that the banks are beholden to the
government.
President
Obama has said that senior bank officials are not going to be able
to receive more than $500,000 a year. They are not going to get
money from stock options until the government gets its money back.
I think this is great. My only regret is that he didn't say it was
$250,000 year. Or maybe $100,000 year. Or maybe about $50,000 a
year. Let them live in New York City on that! The whole crew should
resign and go into some decent line of work.
Fractional
reserve banking has been a con job from the beginning. Rothbard
and Mises pointed this out, and they were hated for it. The economists
trust bureaucracy. They trust people with Ph.D.'s, just like themselves.
But, except at the Federal Reserve, the agencies are run by lawyers
and by appointees who hope to get a fat lobbying salary when they
leave the government. Why should we think that a bunch of Harvard-
and Yale-educated lawyers, who were recruited by New York City banks
that were always protected by the Federal Reserve System, would
have any idea of how to run an economy? We now know how well they
could run the economy. They stripped off million-dollar bonuses
for running the system over the falls.
Is not going
to get much better. The banks are gutted. The best and the brightest
graduates will not be going to go into banking for as long as there
is a $500,000 cap on salaries, if Obama gets his way.
As far as
I am concerned, the pay cap should be forever. And when the bank-created
inflation comes, the government should not change this salary cap
to let them benefit by getting a cost-of-living escalator clause.
Their predecessors knew how to get rich under a manipulated currency.
A far as I'm concerned, their replacements should get poorer the
same way.
For over a
century, the best and the brightest of the students graduating from
the senior universities of the country have been recruited into
big government and fractional reserve banking. In other words, they
relied on coercion to get rich personally and to direct the growth
of American capitalism. They got rich, and capitalism grew, but
it grew in terms of malinvestments. It grew because the fiat money
was used to lower interest rates, and these lower interest rates
led to malinvested capital. Mises showed how this system operated
as early as 1912.
Ever since
September of 2008, we have seen the fruits of the fiat money roots
that Mises warned against almost a century ago. But modern free-market
economists are as hostile to Mises's theory of the business cycle
as they were hostile to Mises's theory of the economic irrationalism
of socialism . . . until the Soviet Union fell. Then, they got religion,
but they still never mention Mises. It was as if he had never lived.
Mises?
Who is Mises? Yes, the Soviet Union went bankrupt. We didn't think
it would in 1986. Except for that lucky guesser Judy Shelton, nobody
predicted that it would. We told people that the Soviet Union had
remarkable economic growth. Yes, it turned out that the Soviet Union
was nothing but Bangladesh with missiles, just as journalist Richard
Grenier said in the 1980's. We did not see this at the time. Still,
we will take credit for its collapse anyway: the new capitalism
defeated it. We will continue to praise the regulated fascist economy
that the United States has been over the last hundred years, and
call for more of the same. We love economic efficiency, because
efficiency lets the State get larger. When people get richer, they
can pay more taxes.
This is why
academic economists are demanding even more Federal spending to
bail out the banks and the other institutions associated with high
finance. Almost to a man, they are saying that the bailouts are
necessary. Why? Because they have been great proponents of the mixed
economy ever since John Maynard Keynes wrote The General Theory
in 1936. More than this: ever since the real mentor of American
fascist banking, Irving Fisher, back in 1911.
Fisher almost
went bankrupt in the Great Depression, yet he is still revered as
the greatest economist in American history. He was a fiat money
man from day one. He believed that the government and the central
bank could control the economy by means of monetary policy. He was
the great apologist of the corrupt monetary system which we now
suffer from. An academic, he was the high priest. Milton Friedman
was little more than an acolyte to Irving Fisher on the money question.
NOMINAL
RECOVERY
There is real
recovery and nominal recovery recovery in terms of rising
prices. Rising wages and rising prices give the illusion of prosperity.
Always in
the past, there has been a recovery after a recession. Always in
the past, the bailouts have worked to cover up the underlying malinvested
capital. Always in the past, the Federal Reserve has inflated, and
the economy revived.
This economy
will revive, but it will revive on a new basis. It is no longer
possible for someone who understands Austrian School economics to
look at this economy as anything remotely resembling a free-market
economy. At the very core of the free-market economy, as Mises said
in 1912, is the monetary system. That system is now completely and
openly run by a cartel that is now trapped by the Federal government.
The Federal Reserve System is soon going to have to bail out the
Federal government. The Federal government is bailing out the commercial
banks, and if the Federal government cannot bail out the banks,
the Federal Reserve has got to do it directly. In either case, the
banks are busted. The capital is gone: wasted. The money is still
in people's bank accounts, but the fiat-money-funded projects have
turned out to be losers. The skyscrapers are empty. The recovery
is going to be a nominal recovery, based on the digits known as
dollars. These digits are going to be produced in such massive quantities
that prices will shoot up as never before in peacetime America.
It is going to be the destruction of the dollar.
Austrian
School economists have been predicting this for years, but now we
have the Federal Reserve on our side. We can look at the adjusted
monetary base, and we can see what is going to happen. Unless the
Federal Reserve System raises the reserve requirement, thereby undermining
the profitability of the entire banking system, and thereby busting
hundreds of banks, including some big ones, the adjusted monetary
base is going to be translated into real money. That real money
is going to get spent. When it gets spent, it is going to raise
prices.
We are seeing
the culmination of a century of bad economic policies. Academic
economists never sounded the alarm after 1936. They did not sound
the alarm because they are the paid agents of the State, certified
by earlier generations of paid agents of the State. The State has
paid for the services of these men and women, and they perform accordingly.
They understand the fundamental rule: "When you take the king's
shilling, you do the king's bidding."
The next college-level
economics textbook that exposes the Federal Reserve System as the
commercial bank cartel's enforcement arm will be the first one.
There is no
academic hue and cry against the massive deficits of the Federal
government and the massive bailouts by the Federal government. Economists
are silent because they have been cheerleaders for the Federal Reserve
System from day one. For these people, the Federal Reserve can do
no wrong today, because it did wrong from 1929 to 1933, and Milton
Friedman exposed this for all to see. What was a great evil of the
Federal Reserve during that period, according to Friedman? It did
not inflate to offset the contraction of money due to collapsing
banks.
Friedman hated
free market banking. He disparaged the gold standard. He believed
in government control over money. At the core of the free market
is money. At the core of Friedman's economics was the State. He
just wanted to make the State more efficient.
The academic
economists never mention the fact it was the expansionary policies
of the Federal Reserve during the 1920's that led to the collapse
of the banking system in the early 1930's. The FED had been set
up so as to prevent any such collapse, and yet that collapse was
the worst collapse in American history. Then what is the right approach?
What do the economists say should be done? Give more power to the
Federal Reserve System. That is exactly what has been done over
the last five months, and the academic economists cheer.
The academic
economists say that things will recover. They tell us that it will
again be business as usual. They tell us that once we get through
this crisis, the American economy will boom once again. They believe
in the fascist economy. They believe that government regulation
is better than the free market. They believe the government-run,
bankruptcy-protected banks, which we now openly have, are better
than private, profit-seeking institutions that are not protected
by a government-created cartel called the Federal Reserve System.
They believe in fascism, and they are going to tell you that everything
is fine as the fascist State extends power over every aspect of
our lives.
BROKEN
PROMISES, WANING FAITH
Do I see this
as the end of freedom? No, I see it is the end of the fascist State.
The monstrosity came close to going belly-up last October. It is
on its last, tottering legs. It has lost respect of the public.
The politicians
are even convinced the banks were run by a bunch of corrupt, self-serving
men, which was in fact the case. What government-protected industry
isn't? But that was not why the bankers lost money. They were lured
by Alan Greenspan's policies of easy money and low interest rates
into believing that the boom was real, and that they could leverage
themselves 30 to one or 40 to one and get paid for their wisdom.
They were high-paid suckers. The Austrian School economists warned
all through the period that this was going to happen. We were all
dismissed as cranks.
As the Internet
grows in its influence, alternative views can get to a minority
of educated people. The success of the Ludwig von Mises Institute
in getting Austrian School economics in front of hundreds of thousands
of young people, all over the world, who would never have heard
about Mises or Rothbard had it not been for the World Wide Web,
indicates that the foundations of the modern fascist economy are
being undermined where it counts, which is in the minds of bright
people who are no longer buying into the system.
In the long
run, Keynes was right: the economic policies of politicians today
are based on the writings of some obscure economist in the past.
Those two economists were Irving Fisher and John Maynard Keynes.
Their world is now toppling. Through their disciples, they are like
a pair of drunks staggering along, holding up each other. Keynes
wanted deficit spending. Fisher wanted a banking system that would
cover these deficits.
The
money from the central banking system funds the Treasury, and the
Treasury in turn bails out the big commercial banks no longer
nearly so big. Everything is based on a daisy chain of digits. Meanwhile,
unemployment is rising, production is falling, fear is spreading,
loss of faith is spreading, and tens of thousands of formerly highly
paid specialists in finance are looking for jobs. This is not a
matter of a conspiracy; this is a matter of the free market finally
voting no against the conspirators.
There are
conservatives who think that all is lost because of the conspiracy.
These are people who never did anything anyway. They do not see
that we are at the end of an era. We are seeing the culmination
of a 500-year era. Jacques Barzun titled his great history of this
era, From
Dawn to Decadence. We are seeing what Martin
Van Creveld called the fall of the state, meaning the nation-state.
These scholars
agree: we are seeing the bankruptcy of every Western government
that has made too many big promises to too many voters regarding
free healthcare and guaranteed retirement. All of it will collapse.
The tatters of the promises will point to the tatters of those who
made the promises politicians and the tatters of the
system that supposedly was going to guarantee delivery of the promises.
The academics
still believe in the healing power of the State. The voters still
believe this, too. But voters are catching on more rapidly than
the academics that the State is running out of wiggle room. Millions
of voters have figured out that they are going to get stiffed. They
don't know what to do about it, but at least they understand that
they really are going to get stiffed.
The academics
say "no." They keep telling all of us that everything is okay, that
a few more trillion-dollar deficits will solve the problem. The
doubling of the monetary base in 2009 will have no more disruptive
effects than the doubling of the monetary base did in the second
half of 2008. They tell us all this, but the public is either oblivious,
or else is growing suspicious.
We will have another round or two of centralized government, and
probably more than one or two rounds of increased monetary expansion.
But what we will not have is a restoration of anything resembling
the financial world that existed prior to September 2008. That world
is gone. The insiders will not get it back. They may get an imitation
of it, based on fiat money that does not buy very much, but they
will not see the world of 2007 restored. The power base of the modern
fascist State is unraveling rapidly.
This
is why it is important for you to preserve your assets by not believing
the official assurances. Put your money where the experts tell you
that you should not put your money. You should take your money out
of those segments of the economy into which the experts say you
should put your money, and will soon boom. They have ignored the
fact that the stock market has been a losing case since March of
2000. They would not admit it then; they will not admit it now.
Anybody who bought and held a portfolio of indexed American stocks
in March of 2000 has lost well over half of his money. Investors
will learn, even though academic economists will not.
CONCLUSION
What I am
saying is this: this time it's different. This time, the fractional
reserve banking system has shot its wad. It is begging for ever-larger
handouts from the Treasury Department, which needs central bank
fiat money to bail out the economy. The public is accepting this
grudgingly, and the academic economists are cheering, but the reality
is this: this time it's different. You had better adjust your portfolio,
your career plans, and your retirement plans accordingly.
February
7, 2009
Gary
North [send him mail] is the
author of Mises
on Money. Visit http://www.garynorth.com.
He is also the author of a free 20-volume series, An
Economic Commentary on the Bible.
Copyright ©
2009 LewRockwell.com
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