Putter, Fritter, and Guess
by
Gary North
Tea Party Economist
Recently
by Gary North: Alternative
Digital Currencies Based on Barter
If this were
a law firm, you would be wise to hire another.
I define puttering
as follows: "Unsystematic work that fills time without accomplishing
much output." I define frittering as follows: "The refusal to take
advantage of opportunities that have been placed in your hand."
I have known
some very successful people over the years. Some have been rich.
Others have been influential. All of them have had this in common.
They have not puttered. They have also not frittered.
PERFECTION
VS. PARETO'S LAW
Vilfredo Pareto
in 1897 reported on land ownership in several European nations.
About 20% of the inhabitants owned 80% of the land. Over the last
century, investigators in many fields have noticed a similar distribution.
About 20% of the officers in a police force make 80% of the arrests.
About 20% of the clients of a company produce about 80% of the profits.
A man I knew
who worked for a midwestern bank had as his job the identification
of these 20%, and then the development of services to get them committed
to the bank. The bank did not want to lose them. Every bank since
1897 should have hired someone to do this. Yet his position was
unique. It had not existed before the late 1990s.
PERFECTIONISM
VS. PRODUCTION
It turns out
that the best way for a businessman to spend his time is the 20%
of his hours in a day that produce 80% of his net income. It may
not be easy to identify these activities, but for a successful career,
a person must do this.
What we find
is that even when people do this, they do not have the self-discipline
to ruthlessly abandon the 80%. They keep doing these low-return
tasks. This may be pure habit. It may be a commitment to the ideal
of perfectionism: to be sure that everything gets done right. The
person refuses to decentralize and delegate. He cannot bring himself
to let go. The result is that the person does not attain his maximum
output/income.
The person
who steadfastly refuses to delegate and decentralize is violating
the principle of the division of labor. This principle says: "You
can't do it all." In some cases, it says; "You can't do it at all."
A task may not be a one-person task.
The person
who is a perfectionist and who insists on doing an entire project
is asking to minimize his output. If, by hiring an assistant, he
can double his output and reduce quality only (say) 4% (20% of 20%),
this will not matter, if the 4% is related to the 80% of the product's
functions that people rarely use.
The computer
industry learned 25 years ago that users use only about 4% of a
program's features. I was a power user of WordPerfect for DOS, but
I used at most 4% of the program. The 600-page manual I own remained
a closed book to me.
Conclusion:
80% of a software firm's money should be devoted to the 4% of the
features that most users actually use. But this is not how software
is designed. Programmers want every feature to be 99.9% reliable.
This cannot be done. This is why the firms keep producing updates.
A wise designer
would do his best to focus on the key 4%. This takes marketing.
Then he should let users identify the bugs. The best way to fix
bugs is to see which ones get 80% of the complaints.
PUTTERING
VS. PARETO'S LAW
Puttering
is the same as perfectionism in this sense: the putterer does not
prioritize his work. Neither does the perfectionist.
The putterer
differs from the perfectionist in this sense: he has no overall
conception of what needs to be done. The perfectionist knows every
nook and cranny. He tries to do it all equally well. But the results
are the same as if he were a putterer. The final product never gets
done right.
The putterer
works on lots of projects. He does a little here, a little there.
He is not focused on the one project that needs to have the key
20% operating at 96% efficiency, and the key 1% operating at 99%
efficiency.
He does not
have a time schedule. He does not have a schedule of priorities.
He works a little on a major project, but then gets sidetracked
on a minor project. The idea that some things can safely be delayed
does not amaze him. He delays lots of things. But he has no sense
of "first things first."
The putterer
is busy. He is not lazy. He never stops working. But his output
is unreliable. He is never sure how long it will take him to complete
the most important projects. The putterer understands what needs
to be done overall. He just does not know the order of production.
He has no schedule of priorities. He is therefore always playing
catch-up.
He knows that
details are important. He just does not know which details are important
in which order.
A putterer
needs a manager. He needs constant intervention from on high. He
needs to be given a schedule and then be held to it. Otherwise,
he will get off track. A putterer cannot function well in a self-employment
environment.
The putterer's
great enemy is time. It gets away from him.
FRITTERERING
VS. PARETO'S LAW
The fritterer
cannot distinguish a unique opportunity from a poor one. He thinks
he is an equal opportunity employer. He uses all opportunities the
same way: nonchalantly.
He does not
see that life brings some opportunities that are uniquely valuable.
They will not come again. The fritterer thinks that life is a stream
of opportunities. One is as good as another. There is no need to
prioritize. There is no need to select one and concentrate on it
to the exclusion of all others.
The fritterer
has a problem related to puttering. He lacks a sense of priorities.
The fritterer
is less driven by the famous Protestant work ethic than the putterer
is. The putterer feels a sense of guilt for failing to be busy.
The fritterer doesn't. He thinks that he can ignore details, but
still he will be successful.
He misses
opportunities. We say this: "He let the opportunity slip through
his fingers." This is especially true of money. He cannot handle
money. More important, he cannot handle time. Both "get away from
him."
The putterer
keeps working. The fritterer doesn't. The putterer is always active.
The fritterer isn't.
The putterer
has a labor theory of value. He thinks that he will get by because
he never stops working. The fritterer is not equally diligent. His
attitude is this: "There's always more where that came from."
Both of them
care little about deadlines. The putterer cannot bring himself to
meet them. The fritterer does not care to meet them. He has no sense
of "now or never."
In this life,
entropy rules by default. Things get chaotic unless we actively
intervene. It takes capital to reverse this regression to the mean:
chaos. The fritterer does not perceive the power of entropy. He
needs to pay attention.
The fritterer,
unlike the putterer, does not know that details are important. The
putterer cannot prioritize them. The fritterer does not recognize
their importance. He sees no priorities at all.
It is possible
to fritter away time. Television is a great temptation here. The
opportunities that time provides are easily squandered. Sometimes,
they cannot be recovered.
The friterrer's
great enemy is money. It gets away from him. But time is also an
enemy. It is easy to fritter away opportunities.
GUESS
My friend
Jimmy Napier has a slogan: "When someone puts a million dollars
in your hand, close your hand." It is good advice. He has lots of
horror stories of people who have had that happen to them, and who
have failed to close their hands. I had that happen once. It was
a lot more than a million dollars. I closed my hand. If I had held
on, I might have made $20 million a year later. That has never bothered
me. I knew Jimmy's advice was right. If I had lost the million,
that would have bothered me. The opportunity could never come again.
Both my wife and I won the FCC's cellular lotteries. We both won
40% of a city.
I spoke with
an old friend last week. He is rich. He made his money as an entrepreneur.
His son is on the road to becoming rich. The son runs a business
that grew by 50% over the last year. It consistently grows at 25%.
It is very successful. It is 17 years old.
In 2008, he
had a chance to expand the business. His father warned against it.
The crisis was upon the economy. In the fall, Lehman Brothers went
bust. The son took his father's advice. As it turned out, the expansion
would have been profitable. Did the son do the right thing? Yes.
He did not let a growing business blow up.
That was not
frittering. The opportunity did not slip through his fingers. That
was guessing. We do not always guess right. But if we do not putter,
and if we do not fritter, guessing is more likely to produce good
results than bad results. Without frittering and puttering, a bad
result can be overcome.
The essence
of entrepreneurship is guessing. Successful entrepreneurship is
guessing right. This takes experience. It also takes something that
cannot be imitated. It takes the ability to guess right more often
than one's competitors. If it could be taught systematically, the
rate of return would fall to the rate for equally risky ventures.
Guesswork
is basic to life. We cannot know the future perfectly. But if we
discipline ourselves to respect priorities, we will not fall into
the traps of puttering and frittering.
WHERE
DO YOU START?
Which is your
problem: puttering or frittering? One or the other will be the heaviest
anchor on your success.
If it's puttering,
then you must pay close attention to these issues: (1) your long-term
goals, (2) your ability to prioritize them, (3) your ability to
budget time, (4) your ability to review the output of your efforts
in relation to your goals. You know that you must get a lot of things
done. You don't know which have chronological priority.
If your problem
is frittering, you must pay close attention to these issues: (1)
your long-term goals, (2) your ability to prioritize them, (3) your
ability to budget money, (4) your ability to review the output of
your efforts in relation to your goals. You know that you must get
a lot of things done. You don't know which have monetary priority.
Time and money
are always in tension. There is a time cost of money and a money
cost of time. The faster you want to accomplish something, the more
you will have to pay. If you are short of money, you had better
be long on time. This is the situation faced by youths. Old people
face the reverse.
Some people
can balance a checkbook, but they run late. Other people get there
on time, but at a high cost. Are you either? Both? More one than
another?
Start dealing
systematically with the one you would prefer to postpone. Procrastination
kills.
If you have
problems budgeting time, you need to buy a time-management package.
There are lots of them. Any will work. They take real discipline
to master. I have never used one. When you write 9 articles a day,
you do not need one. Your deadlines serve as the hammers. It does
not matter when you write them. You must write them.
As
for money management. I have set up a site that can help you: www.DeliveranceFromDebt.com.
It would be a good idea to buy Quicken and use it.
CONCLUSION
Time can get
away from you. Money can get away from you. You can replace lost
money. You cannot replace lost time.
I think puttering
is the greater threat. The putterer has time-management problems.
They are difficult to overcome. It is possible to fritter away time
as well as money. But money forces its attention on us. We have
budgets to meet. That's why money management is easier for most
people than time management. People forget how little time they
have. When it comes to time, there's not more of that. When the
account says "insufficient time," the process ends. It's not like
"insufficient funds."
July
18, 2012
Gary
North [send him mail]
is the author of Mises
on Money. Visit http://www.garynorth.com.
He is also the author of a free 20-volume series, An
Economic Commentary on the Bible.
Copyright ©
2012 Gary North
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