When Government Safety Nets Break
by
Gary North
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The West's
governments are going to default, one way or another. Politicians
cannot bring themselves to stop spending money the governments do
not have.
The deficits
of the major Western governments are now so great as to be irreversible.
The governments must now borrow money to be used to pay interest
on money already borrowed. In the housing market, this is called
a backward-walking mortgage. It invariably spells default. The subprime
mortgages were mostly of this type.
The West's
largest governments are therefore subprime borrowers.
Politicians
no longer speak about politically viable plans to call a halt to
these deficits. They speak as though revenues will come from some
unknown sources. They talk of reducing the debt-to-GDP ratios in
the distant future. This is subprime mortgage thinking. It always
leads to foreclosure and bankruptcy. But this fact did not stop
lenders, 2002-2007. It does not stop them today. Lenders lend 90-day
money to the U.S. Treasury for eight one-hundredths of a percent.
"What could go wrong?" Answer: plenty.
THE
ETHICS OF THE WELFARE STATE
The welfare
state is defended ethically as a system of safety nets. These safety
nets are defended as ethically necessary for a good society, meaning
ethically good. Intellectuals see business profits as legitimate
mainly because profits provide a tax base for funding the welfare
state.
These safety
nets require constant and ever-increasing funding. They are going
to lose this funding. Why? Because of national government bankruptcies.
There is no
question that the deficits will produce a series of fiscal crises.
These crises will initially be covered up by central bank inflation,
but the end result of that policy will either be hyperinflation,
which is a form of concealed default, or stable money, which will
be followed by open default. There will be a default. The political
fall-out of this default will change the nature of Western politics.
The welfare
state is going to self-destruct. It is highly unlikely that we will
see the complete destruction of the welfare state in any nation,
but it will contract on a scale not seen since the fall of the Roman
Empire. That is because we have not seen a welfare state as comprehensive
as Rome's until modern times.
The bigger
they are, the harder they fall.
I know of
no studies of the effects of the fall of Rome on the masses of welfare
recipients. It took centuries for the system to decline. We know
that the central state in 400 A.D. could no longer support the welfare
clients that it supported with bread and circuses in the days of
Nero. Manorialism steadily replaced the central government in the
Western Empire. But for centuries, welfare clients lived and died
as clients.
Then the welfare
state died. It did not revive until the twentieth century.
THE
GREAT DEFAULT
What will
make the coming Great Default different from Rome's will be the
speed of its arrival and the magnitude of the contraction.
Birth rates
have fallen everywhere outside the United States. The number of
aged retirees in every Western nation, including Japan, is increasing
relentlessly. The number of children born is falling. The end is
clear. So is the politics of kick the can.
Unlike Rome,
the West's intellectuals have defended the spread of the welfare
state by means of a system of ethics. It rests on a variation of
the Mosaic commandment against theft: "Thou shalt not steal, except
by majority vote." So widespread has this revised commandment been
that the electorates in every Western nation will not tolerate its
rejection. Yet the economics of the deficits points to the operational
failure of the welfare system.
The defenders
of the welfare state will then have to explain this widespread collapse
of the programs. How did such an ethically superior system fail?
How did it lead millions of welfare clients to trust a self-destructive
state? How did it mislead so many addicts to government handouts?
How did it lead them into a ditch, devoid of skills to compete in
the post-default world?
Answer: because
the welfare state was ethically corrupt before it was fiscally corrupt.
It is based on theft by majority vote.
We have seen
what happens to the false messiahs of the messianic state. Western
Marxists had a solid though small market for their fat books until
the Soviet Union went bankrupt in the late 1980s and shut down in
December 1991. Overnight, Marxism lost its academic defenders. They
became as invisible as Baghdad Bob did on the day American troops
marched in.
The Marxist
system had been seen by Western intellectuals as intellectually
viable, one of several legitimate perspectives. Then, overnight,
it was regarded as a total failure, and even worse for intellectuals
a fool's quest, a bad joke. Marxism was rejected in theory
because of its visible loss of power. The ethics of Western Marxism
in contrast to Marx's rejection of ethics had always
been an illusion. Marxism had always been what Marx had said it
was: a matter of power. Defenders who steadfastly had defended Marxism
in theory if not in actual practice were no longer willing to do
in public. They did not want to be identified with historical losers
losers of power.
If Marxism
had been ethically based, it would not have faded overnight just
because its power base collapsed. The true believers would have
stayed the course. But Marxism was never about ethics. It was always
about power.
So is the
welfare state.
The defenders
of the welfare state have come in the name of a higher ethics. When
the system goes belly-up fiscally, these defenders will face the
same sort of existential crisis that the Marxists faced in 1992.
They ought
to be able to see that the welfare state is a fraud, a delusion,
and an ethical monstrosity: charity with guns. They ought to be
able to see that theft is theft, with or without majority votes.
But they don't.
So, let us
look at something more practical. Let us look at a sign: "Do not
feed the dolphins."
"DO
NOT FEED THE DOLPHINS"
It is illegal
to feed dolphins in the United States. Federal law prohibits this.
I do not recall anything in the Constitution authorizing federal
laws against feeding dolphins, but I'll let that pass. The fact
is, people ignore the law. They love to feed dolphins. In Tampa
Bay, tourists are big law-breakers in this regard.
Why shouldn't
people be allowed to feed dolphins? Because, marine biologists say,
giving dolphins free food addicts them to handouts. People are turning
dolphins into welfare bums.
The federal
government's fish police see the threat. Handouts destroy the ability
of dolphins, who are very smart fish (mammals), to survive on their
own. Mothers do not teach survival skills to their offspring. They
teach them to live off welfare.
Tourists are
creating inter-generational welfare dependence. In a 2009 article
in the "Tampa Bay Times," we read this from a biologist employed
by the National Marine Fisheries Service. "We are able to document
lineage, from grandmother to mother to calf, all following fishing
boats and taking thrown-back fish."
Marine biologists,
who themselves are being fed by the federal government, understand
the threat to ecology posed by welfare economics. It is a bad idea,
they say, to addict smart fish to handouts. But the logic of this
position is not applied to human beings, who are far more clever
than dolphins. What is gospel at the National Marine Fishing Service
is anathema at the Department of Health and Human Services. What
the government's experts on fish see as a threat to the fish, the
government's experts on human beings do not see as a threat to people.
What is the
threat? Creating permanent dependence.
LIFETIME
DEPENDENCE
Every system
of welfare runs the risk of addicting the recipients to a system
of handouts. This is why there have always been restraints to this
system of outside care and feeding of dependents. The family has
always been the main welfare institution. Parents supply children
with handouts. In-laws supply in-laws with handouts. We expect those
in charge of this system of wealth redistribution to place limits
on it. Why? Because they own the resources. Every asset that goes
to one dependent cannot be used by the decision-maker to fund something
else.
Churches have
also been sources of welfare. The Apostle Paul made it clear that
such welfare has limits. In a deservedly famous passage, he wrote:
"For even when we were with you, this we commanded you, that if
any would not work, neither should he eat" (2 Thessalonians 3:10).
This could be called workfare. The statement provides a model for
all welfare programs dealing with able-bodied adults.
Paul used
his own life as an example. He did not accept funding from churches.
He was a tentmaker (Acts 18:3). He refused financial support because
he knew this would compromise his independence.
Neither
did we eat any man's bread for nought; but wrought with labour and
travail night and day, that we might not be chargeable to any of
you: Not because we have not power, but to make ourselves an ensample
unto you to follow us. For even when we were with you, this we commanded
you, that if any would not work, neither should he eat. For we hear
that there are some which walk among you disorderly, working not
at all, but are busybodies. Now them that are such we command and
exhort by our Lord Jesus Christ, that with quietness they work,
and eat their own bread (2 Thessalonians 3:8-12)
Churches,
like families, have limited funds. The deacons are to exercise good
judgment in using church funds as handouts. Yet few modern churches
have formal training for deacons to give them the judgment they
need.
I used to
belong to an inner-city church in Memphis. The church's secretary
had grown up in the neighborhood. She knew the welfare bums. She
would warn the pastor, who grew up in the Bahamas, when one of them
showed up, looking for a handout. She knew the distinction between
the deserving poor and the undeserving poor.
Alcoholics
Anonymous is famous for its 12-step program. It has become the model
for other organizations devoted to reducing addiction and promoting
deliverance. I wish that all people who have become dependent on
handouts of any kind would recite these at weekly meetings.
- We admitted
we were powerless over welfare addiction that our lives
had become unmanageable.
- Came to
believe that a Power greater than ourselves could restore us to
sanity.
- Made a decision
to turn our will and our lives over to the care of God as we understood
Him.
- Made a
searching and fearless moral inventory of ourselves.
- Admitted
to God, to ourselves and to another human being the exact nature
of our wrongs.
- Were entirely
ready to have God remove all these defects of character.
- Humbly asked
Him to remove our shortcomings.
- Made a list
of all persons we had harmed, and became willing to make amends
to them all.
- Made direct
amends to such people wherever possible, except when to do so
would injure them or others.
- Continued
to take personal inventory and when we were wrong promptly admitted
it.
- Sought through
prayer and meditation to improve our conscious contact with God
as we understood Him, praying only for knowledge of His will for
us and the power to carry that out.
- Having had
a spiritual awakening as the result of these steps, we tried to
carry this message to welfare dependents and to practice these
principles in all our affairs.
The reason
why this confession of faith will never be implemented is that we
live in the era of the welfare state. The state encourages dependence.
It uses funds confiscated from some voters to fund the lifestyles
of other voters.
About half
of Americans receive money from the U.S. government. (http://bit.ly/HookedOnGovernment).
Then there are the tens of millions who receive money from state
and local governments. When we count the tax-supported schools as
welfare agencies, we see that welfare handouts are the very foundation
of modern politics. The theologian R. J. Rushdoony wrote a book
on this: Politics of Guilt and Pity." It's
free.
THE
MESSIANIC STATE
Why should
this be the case? Because, as Rushdoony argued, the modern state
is messianic. Its defenders present it as the healing state, the
savior state. It has replaced God in the thinking of modern secular
man.
A state that
does not claim the ability to heal, the legal right to heal, and
the moral responsibility to heal is a night-watchman state. It does
not make comprehensive claims for delivering men, so it does not
make comprehensive claims on the allegiance of men. It is limited
government, precisely because it acknowledges that it cannot heal.
Rushdoony
had another name for the messianic state: the Moloch state. In his
Institutes of Biblical Law (1973), he wrote this.
While
relatively little is known of Moloch, much more is known of the
concept of divine kingship, the king as god, and the god as king,
as the divine-human link between heaven and earth. The god-king
represented man on a higher scale, man ascended, and the worship
of such a god, i.e., of such a Baal, was the assertion of the continuity
of heaven and earth. It was the belief that all being was one being,
and the god therefore was an ascended man on that scale of being.
The power manifested in the political order was thus a manifestation
or apprehension and seizure of divine power. It represented the
triumph of a man and of his people. Moloch worship was thus a political
religion. . . . Moloch worship was thus state worship. The state
was the true and ultimate order, and religion was a department of
the state. The state claimed total jurisdiction over man; it was
therefore entitled to total sacrifice (p. 32).
The defenders
of the messianic state have been successful for a century in persuading
the voters that the state is benign in both its intentions and its
policies. They have made the case for a healing state indirectly.
They present the case for the state as the provider of tax-funded
safety nets. One special-interest group at a time, the politicians
and their court prophets, meaning the intelligentsia, have extended
the safety nets.
SAFETY
NETS AS SNARES
Tax-funded
safety nets are in fact political snares. These safety are not deliberately
designed to create dependence, any more than Florida tourists deliberately
plan to addict dolphins to handouts, but in both cases, this is
the effect. The welfare establishments are like zoos. The animals
are well cared for. They are well fed. They are given medical care.
What they are not given is liberty.
Welfare clients
are smarter than dolphins. They learn how to work the system. Nancy
Pelosi's daughter has produced a
documentary on professional welfare bums. They were amazingly
forthright with her about the nature of their ability to work the
system.
If they see
that they have become ensnared in a system that makes them dependent
on the system, they do not show it. They seem to regard their dependence
as a badge of honor, proof of their ability to milk the system.
They do not see themselves as people wrapped in snares.
CONCLUSION
I end with
the words of the newspaper
story on feeding the dolphins.
Federal
law banned wild dolphin feeding in the early 1990s, but by then
the St. Andrew Bay bunch was hooked.
They continue to approach boats three and four at a time. And as
YouTube videos attest, people are still happy to provide dinner.
"Grab me a minnow, Patty! Feed 'em!" yells a man in one video.
"They aren't going anywhere," another man responds. "They'll be
here until we stop feeding them."
What is true
of formerly independent dolphins is equally true of formerly independent
welfare recipients. Nobody seems to care.
The tourists
will keep coming to Florida. Washington's checks won't.
"When
the bough breaks, the cradle will fall.
And down will come baby, cradle and all."
April
9, 2012
Gary
North [send him mail]
is the author of Mises
on Money. Visit http://www.garynorth.com.
He is also the author of a free 20-volume series, An
Economic Commentary on the Bible.
Copyright ©
2012 Gary North
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