Ron Paulís Support Is Much More Widespread Than Reported
by John Keller: Open
Letter to 'The Republican Establishment' Ė What the Military and
Mainstream Knows About Ron Paul that You Should Learn
media and republicans are in a panic that Ron Paul is in a position
to win the Iowa caucus, and is gaining momentum in New Hampshire.
One of the main strawmen put forth is that Ron Paul has a small
but fervent set of supporters, perhaps 1 Million, who take over
online polls, and have now realized how to organize on the ground.
In other words, the establishment argues that Ron Paulís apparent
popularity is really driven by a small group of Ron Paul fans, rather
than being reflective of the majority of voters, and in a real election
Ron Paul will be unable to win. Letís use widely available Internet
tools to examine this argument and draw our own conclusions.
A picture is
worth a thousand words, and hereís my favorite. It was created using
Google Trends, and I invite you to use the tool to replicate what
Iíve done here: http://www.google.com/trends
(Enter Ron Paul, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney). I changed the default
time range to 30 days.
for a larger version
This set of
graphs shows 3 major things Ė Iíve added a big #1, #2, and #3 by
each point. First, unless Ron Paul supporters are getting up and
using Google every morning, search volume shows that Ron Paul is
overwhelmingly the most searched about candidate. The top line references
Ron Paul to 1, and compares the search volume for Newt and Mitt
to Ron (see the big #1) Ė He has 2x times the search volume of Newt
Gingrich, and 4 times the search volume of Mitt Romney. He has more
Google searches than Mitt and Newt, combined. Bottom line: the general
public has interest in Ron Paul Ė note that this does not tell us
if the interest is positive or negative, but it is sustained and
bottom graph is Googleís index of news story mentions. See the big
#2, and note that the Mainstream Media really is ignoring Ron Paul.
See how it is only now, when Ron Paul has been polling #1 in Iowa
and gaining momentum in New Hampshire that the news media are starting
to run stories on him. No wonder they call them dead tree dailies.
They are not serving the public the information they want to know
about, they are serving up the establishment line. Note to entrepreneurs:
the gap between search volume above and news story volume below
has a name Ė "opportunity".
city by city breakout of interest is very telling Ė see the big
#3. The beltway insiders in Washington DC are breathing their own
exhaust. They are the only area where searches for Newt Gingrich
approach those of Ron Paul. When I first pulled this graph a few
days ago, Newt was actually ahead. The level of groupthink is truly
amazing, and helps explain the utter befuddlement as the Washington
desk chiefs, K street gang, assorted lobbyists, and political hacks
try to understand how and why Ron Paul can actually win in Iowa
and New Hampshire.
There are many
other sources of information to confirm that Ron Paul is really
the peopleís choice, and the most interesting candidate in the field.
Note that I havenít cherry-picked these, as Mitt is clearly winning
in some areas. I will point out that Gross Google Results includes
news stories and cross postings of news, which is why I prefer actual
search volume to represent interest. Similarly, Mitt is ahead on
Facebook "likes", however, Ron is gaining ground after
his fine debate performances and Tonight Show Appearance . The Youtube
videos are especially telling. Ron Paulís results page has multiple
videos with hundreds and thousands of views each, and no video on
the first page with less than 25,000 views. Mitt Romneyís results
page has a clip with 42 views in the number 6 position.
the mainstream media attempts to show Ron Paul as a fringe candidate
to discourage undecided voters from aligning themselves with him.
Donít be fooled, and donít be fooled by the "Ron Paul canít
win" canard. The real world statistics and indicators show
that the mainstream media has and is consistently underestimating
the strength, depth, and breadth of Ron Paulís support.
him mail] writes
from Atlanta, GA where he lives and works.
© 2011 by LewRockwell.com. Permission to reprint in whole or in
part is gladly granted, provided full credit is given.
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