Even
if you are already wealthy, some thought on this topic is worthwhile.
What would you do if some act of God or of government, a catastrophic
lawsuit or a really serious misjudgment took you back to Square
One? One thing about a real depression is that everybody loses.
As Richard Russell has quipped, the winners are those who lose the
least. And as far as Im concerned, the Greater Depression
is looming, not just another cyclical downturn. You may find that,
although youre far ahead of your neighbors (you own precious
metals, youve diversified internationally and you dont
believe much of what you hear from official sources), youre
still not as prepared as youd like.
I think a
good plan would be to approach the problem in four steps: Liquidate,
Consolidate, Create and Speculate.
Step 1:
Liquidate
Chances are
high that you have too much stuff. Your garage, basement
and attic are so full of possessions that you may be renting a
storage unit for the overflow. That stuff is costing you money
in storage cost, in depreciation and in the weight of psychological
baggage. Its limiting your options; its weighing you
down. Get rid of it.
Right now
it has a market value. Perhaps to a friend you can call. Or to
a neighbor who might buy it if you have a yard sale. Or to some
of the millions of people on eBay. A year from now, when were
out of the eye of the financial hurricane and back into the storm,
it will likely have much less value. But right now theres
a market. Even if most people are no longer wearing those He
who dies with the most toys, wins T-shirts that were popular
at the height of the boom, there are still buyers. But the general
standard of living is dropping, and mass psychology is changing.
In a year or two, you may find there arent any bids and
the psychology of the country has changed radically. People will
be desperate for cash, and theyll all be cleaning out their
storage units (partly because they cant afford the rent
on them).
Liquidate
whatever you dont actually need clothes, furniture,
tools, cars, bikes, collections, electronics, properties, you-name-it.
Youll be able to re-buy something like it, or better, cheaper.
Just as important, youll feel light and mobile. Unburdened
by a bunch of possessions that own you and weigh you down. It
will definitely improve your psychology, which is critical to
the next stage. And the cash it generates will be helpful for
the rest of the plan.
Step 2:
Consolidate
Take stock
of your assets. After Step 1, that should be a lot easier, because
youll have less junk but a lot more cash. Youll already
feel more in control and empowered. And definitely richer. But
your main assets arent money or things. Its the knowledge,
skills and connections you possess. Take stock of them. What do
you know? What can you do? Whom do you know? Make lists and think
about these things, with an eye to maximizing their value.
If youre
light on knowledge, skills and connections, then do something
about it although if youre reading this, you probably
already live life in a way that builds all of those assets daily.
But theres always room for improvement. Think the Count
of Monte Cristo. Or, if youre not so classically oriented,
think Sarah Connor after she met the Terminator.
Part of this
process is to look at what youre now doing. The chances
are excellent theres a better and more profitable allocation
of your time. Even successful rock stars tend to reinvent themselves
every few years. You dont want to get stale. That leads
to Step 3.
Step 3:
Create
Remember,
the essence of becoming wealthy is to produce more than you consume
and save the difference. But its hard to maximize value
working for somebody else. And when youre given a job, it
can be taken away for any number of reasons. There is cause and
there is effect. You dont want to be the effect of somebody
elses cause. You want to be the cause for everything in
your life. That implies working for yourself. At least turn your
present employer into a partner or an associate.
Perhaps go
through the Yellow Pages (while they still exist), page by page,
line by line, and see what you can provide as a service for the
businesses advertising there. I promise you, theyre all
looking for someone to come along, kiss their world and make it
better. Think like an entrepreneur at all times. Remember that
there is an infinite desire for goods and services on the part
of the 6 billion other people on the planet. Find out how you
can give them what they want, and the money will roll in.
Ive
said many times that I believe you could airdrop me naked and
penniless into the heart of the Congo, and by the time I emerged,
Id not just have survived, Id come out wealthy. And,
believe me, I dont think wealth is by any means the most
important thing in life; its important but should be considered
a convenience, not an imperative. Not that Id want to be
airdropped into the Congo at the moment; Ive gotten a bit
lazy, I have other interests, and you cant be everywhere
and do everything.
But now that
I think about it, if I wanted to make a real fortune today from
a small base, I might prefer Africa to any other continent. As
an educated Westerner, you can quickly meet anyone, on an equal
level, much more easily than you could at home. If you have a
reason that makes any sense at all, you can be in the office of
the president within a week. These countries are all plagued with
incompetence and corruption, they need everything, and theyre
full of untapped resources and talent. This all inures to the
great advantage of a foreign entrepreneur.
Heres
an idea. For your next vacation, book a trip to Cameroon, Togo,
Gabon, Zimbabwe or Angola. Go through the Yellow Pages in the
capital and meet everybody who is anybody. The chances are good
youll come up with several deals in the first week alone.
If you cant find the time, send your kid whos just
out of school and idiotically thinks he may want to misallocate
time and money getting an MBA. This idea alone should be worth
a million dollars. Or, as I would prefer to think of it, 700 ounces
of gold.
But to an
economist, money, like all goods, has declining marginal
utility. In other words, the more of something you have,
the less you need or want the next unit. Of course more is always
better, but its unseemly, even degrading, to pursue anything
beyond a certain point.
When I was
in Toronto a couple months ago, I spoke with a Chinese friend
who, I believe, is worth at least $250 million. As he waxed philosophic,
he allowed that he didnt feel he really needed more than
30 extra large to live exactly as he liked. I agreed, in that
meals in the best restaurants, the finest clothes, cars and houses
only cost so much. And its well within a conservative return
on that capital, without ever even touching the principal. Is
it worth it to get more? Perhaps not, unless your interests in
the rest of life are entirely too narrow. The point of money is
to allow you freedom, not make you crazy with getting more.
That doesnt
rule out speculation as an avocation, however. More everything
else being equal is still better.
Step 4:
Speculate
Youve
got money. Now you have to keep it and make it grow, because staying
in the same place amounts to going backwards. Thats partially
because the world at large will continue getting wealthier, even
as the dollars you own lose value.
In the past,
Ive discussed why a lot of old rules for success are actually
going to prove counterproductive over the next few years. Saving
with dollars will be foolish as they dry up and blow away. Investing
according to classic rules will be very tricky in a radically
changing economy. Most people will try to outrun inflation by
trading or gambling. The markets, which are the natural friend
of productive people, will perversely prove very destructive to
them in the years to come. Youll know when the final bottom
in the stock market has come: The average guy wont want
to hear about the stock market, if he even remembers it exists.
And if he does, hell want it abolished.
Instead of
becoming a victim of inflation and other politically caused distortions
in the marketplace, you can profit from these things. Rational
speculation is the optimum approach.
What to
Do If Youre Already Wealthy?
Perhaps,
however, youve already covered all the financial bases to
your satisfaction. Quo vadis? I have several thoughts on the meaning
of wealth. You may find some of them of value as prices of everything
fluctuate radically in the years ahead.
First,
recognize that wealth is a high moral good. Dont feel guilty
about having it or about wanting more.
If youve
already accumulated and deployed enough capital to allow you to
jump off the golden treadmill, congratulations: chances are high
that you are an exceptional human being. I say that because the
moral value of being wealthy is underrated. I dont mean
that in a Calvinistic way, in that Calvin believed Yahweh rewarded
the righteous by making them rich. But I do believe that productive
people people who work hard to provide goods and services
for others definitely tend to be wealthier than unproductive
people. They deserve to be. And since we dont live in a
malevolent universe, people generally get what they deserve. So,
yes, wealth is definitely one indicator of moral excellence.
Sure, some
wealthy people got that way by lying, cheating and stealing. But
theyre exceptions. Its much easier to become wealthy
if (in addition to having virtues like diligence, competence and
judgment) you are known to be truthful and honest. Those who automatically
think ill of the rich are, at best, paranoid fools. Put it this
way: Rich people may lack some virtues, but they definitely have
at least a few that made them rich. Poor people, on the other
hand, will certainly lack some virtues, and theyll definitely
have some vices that kept them poor.
Im
a fan of some aspects of Gurdjieff, the late 19th to mid 20th
century Russian mystic, who was also a merchant adventurer at
some points in his colorful life. He said that anyone who successfully
employed at least 20 other people must be considered at least
partially enlightened and a type of guru. That viewpoint always
resonated with me. Self-made wealthy people may not be saints
or mystics or intellectuals or even especially thoughtful or moral.
But theyve proven theyre better than the average bear
in at least one important way: they can create and conserve wealth.
And theyve thereby eased everyones path to further
accomplishments.
Second,
figure out your purpose in having money.
Sure, money
makes life easier. And its nice how it enables you to assist
people you like with material things. But I strongly suggest that
you not take too short a view on this matter. Accelerating advances
in medical science are not only lengthening human life expectancy,
but new developments now in the works have the potential to vastly
improve your capability and health as well.
Is it possible
to live to age 200, with all the wealth, knowledge and wisdom
that implies, while maintaining the body of a 30-year-old? Not
yet. But the prospect is on the horizon. It will, however, be
available only to those who can afford it. Ray Kurzweil makes
a case that the Singularity is near, and I buy his reasoning.
It would be tragic indeed if anyone frittered away his wealth,
thinking he wouldnt live very long, and then succumbed to
a self-fulfilling prophecy, not because of medical difficulties,
but because of financial difficulties.
Third,
dont give your money to charity.
Entirely
apart from showing a lack of both imagination and foresight, its
a complete waste of good money, pure and simple. Contrary to popular
opinion, it rarely does any good; it often does great harm. The
whole concept of charitable giving is corrupt and desperately
in need of a complete rethinking.
Fourth,
if you do care about posterity (who knows, you might be reincarnated
),
and on the chance you dont make it to the Singularity, carefully
consider how to dispose of your estate.
For one thing,
theres no reason to automatically leave anything to your
children unless they deserve it. The notion that someone
should inherit just because he shares your genes is flawed and
thoughtless. The example of Marcus Aurelius leaving the Roman
Empire to his worthless son, Commodus, should be instructive.
Wealth should be left to someone who is most capable of increasing
it at least if you want to benefit humanity in general.
And, yes, Im quite aware that humanity in general may deserve
absolutely nothing.
At a minimum,
consider that memes are far more important than genes. Its
wiser, therefore, to leave your wealth only to individuals (related
to you or not) who will carry forth values you hold dear and are
worthy of the wealth. If nothing else, make sure you disinherit
the government.
Also consider
that dividing wealth dissipates it and generally makes it less
useful. If you have a million dollars, you could leave a thousand
dollars to each of a thousand people. But apart from the fact
that its unlikely anyone knows a thousand worthy people,
that much money is only enough for a modest vacation or a few
baubles. The larger the pool of capital, the more ways it can
be used, the more creative power it has, and the more likely it
will be conserved and used creatively. I favor the Roman system,
in which one could adopt children of any age but always
after you could see what their character was. You might want to
do that if your own kids dont make the grade.
The Bottom
Line
If you want
serious money, you have to get serious about money. You need to
understand these fundamentals and never forget them. Dont
let all the garbage reported in the financial media you read,
see or hear confuse you about what money really is. Dont
consume more than you make: save! Dont spend: invest!
Americans
are more frightened than ever which investments are still
safe, how can you protect your assets? Make no mistake, the US
is in a debt crisis of epic proportions that will get much worse
before it gets better. But there are ways to save your wealth:
Register now for our free online event, The
American Debt Crisis.