The
Winter of Conservative Discontent
by
Patrick
J. Buchanan
Recently
by Patrick J. Buchanan: A
Republican Retreat – or Rout?
As the white
flag rises above Republican redoubts, offering a surrender on taxes,
the mind goes back to what seemed a worse time for conservatives:
December 1964.
Barry Goldwater
had suffered a defeat not seen since Alf Landon. Republicans held
less than one-third of the House and Senate and only 17 governorships.
The Warren Court was remaking America.
In the arts,
academic and entertainment communities, and national press corps,
conservatives were rarely seen or heard. It was Liberalism's Hour,
with America awash in misty memories of Camelot and great expectations
of the Great Society to come in 1965.
That year,
however, saw escalation in Vietnam, campus protests, and civil disobedience
against the war. That August, there exploded the worst race riot
in memory in the Watts section of Los Angeles, with arson, looting,
the beating of whites, and sniper attacks on cops and firemen.
A year after
LBJ's triumph, black militants and white radicals were savaging
the Liberal Establishment from the left, while Gov. George Wallace
had come north in 1964 to win a third of the vote in the major Democratic
primaries with an assault from the populist right.
Below the surface,
the Democratic Party was disintegrating on ethnic, cultural and
political lines. Law and order and Vietnam were the issues. Richard
Nixon would see the opening and seize the opportunity to dismantle
FDR's coalition and cobble together his New Majority.
Today, the
GOP strength in the House, Senate and governorships is far greater
than anything Republicans had in the 1960s. The difference is that,
then, we could visualize a new majority of centrist Republicans,
Goldwater conservatives, Northern Catholic ethnics and Southern
Protestant Democrats.
And we could
see the issues that might bring them into the tent: a new Supreme
Court, law and order, peace with honor in Vietnam.
When the Liberal
Establishment collapsed during the 1960s, unable to end the war
in Vietnam or the war in the streets, national leadership passed
to the party of Nixon and Ronald Reagan. From 1968 to 1988, the
GOP won five of six presidential elections, two of them in 49-state
landslides.
The crisis
of the GOP today is demographic, cultural and political.
Demographically,
people of color are nearing 40 percent of the U.S. population and
30 percent of the electorate. These folks – 85 to 90 percent of
all immigrants, legal and illegal – are growing in number. And in
2012, people of color voted for Obama 4 to 1.
The GOP trump
card – we are the party of Reagan, who led us to victory in the
Cold War – ceased to work 20 years ago. Then, George H.W. Bush,
a war hero who had presided over the fall of the Berlin Wall and
dissolution of the Soviet Empire, the victor of Desert Storm, won
38 percent of the vote against a draft-evader named Bill Clinton.
Culturally,
the causes of the 1960s' revolutions – no-fault divorce, legalized
drugs, "reproductive rights," teenage access to birth control, gay
rights and gay marriage – have either been embraced or become acceptable
to most of America's young.
As a result
of the sexual revolution promoted by the counterculture of the 1960s,
the dominant culture today, 40 percent of all births in the United
States are now to single moms.
With no husband,
these women look to government to help feed, house, educate, medicate
and provide income support for themselves and their children. For
sustenance and the survival of their families, they depend on that
same Big Government that Republicans denounce at their rallies.
As to the GOP's
strongest appeal – we are the party that will cut taxes – half the
country does not pay income taxes, and the GOP is about to surrender
to Obama even on the tax front.
Republicans
stand for bringing entitlements under control. But the primary beneficiaries
of the big entitlements, Social Security and Medicare, are seniors,
the party's most reliable voting bloc.
On foreign
policy, the most visible Republican spokesmen are Sens. John McCain
and Lindsey Graham. Both were unhappy with the withdrawals from
Iraq and Afghanistan. Both want to intervene in Syria and Iran.
What does America
want? To come home and do our nation-building here in the United
States.
The
bedrock values of Reagan – work, family, faith – still hold an appeal
for tens of millions. But the faith of our fathers is dying, the
family is crumbling, and work is less desirable when the social
welfare state offers a cushioned existence for life.
Conservatives
need to rediscover what they wish to conserve and how, in a climate
every bit as hostile as 1964 – then await the moment when the country
turns again to an alternative.
As it will.
For our economic course is unsustainable. And our regnant elite
are more arrogant than the establishment of the 1960s, though less
able to satisfy the clamors of their bawling constituencies for
more and more from a country that is approaching an end of its tolerance
and an inevitable crash.
December
12, 2012
Patrick
J. Buchanan [send
him mail] is co-founder and editor of The
American Conservative. He is also the author of seven books,
including Where
the Right Went Wrong, and Churchill,
Hitler, and the Unnecessary War. His latest book is Suicide
of a Superpower: Will America Survive to 2025? See his
website.
Copyright
© 2012 Creators Syndicate
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